This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.
AS Roma 3-4 Real Madrid result, stats and report
Who won AS Roma vs Real Madrid?
AS Roma 3-4 Real Madrid, full time in the UEFA Champions League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals, which landed.
Editorial publication status
No Match Review published
The final score and match data are available elsewhere in this Match Centre.
Real Madrid won it 4–3
No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
AS Roma 3–4 Real Madrid
Real Madrid arrive in Rome on Wednesday carrying two losses in their last three Champions League matches. Roma will fancy their chances, but the evidence is thin on both sides.
Real Madrid won 4-3 away at AS Roma.
7 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Real Madrid to win
Result
3:4
AS Roma v Real Madrid
📊 Match recap and data context
Real Madrid won 4-3 at Roma in the Champions League, landing our model's 40% pick for a Madrid victory. De Roon opened the scoring in the 20th minute before Mbappé equalised five minutes later. Malen restored Roma's lead after the interval, but Madrid's greater firepower proved decisive in an entertaining encounter. Real Madrid's recent form had been inconsistent, yet they found enough in attack to overcome a Roma side that had won four of their last five. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
AS Roma v Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League ·
More from this competition: UEFA Champions League predictions · UEFA Champions League odds
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
How the forecast compared
The provider forecast gives Real Madrid win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
- AS Roma
- 37.8%
- Draw
- 22.6%
- Real Madrid
- 39.6%
- Both teams to score · Yes
- 64.4%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65.3%
Full-time forecast audit: Real Madrid win was the highest probability; the match result was Real Madrid win.
Forecast result checked ·
No Tip was published for this match
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
10 facts from this result
The final verified live-context record and historical evidence saved before kick-off, kept as separate evidence sets.
Final live-fact record
- For Real Madrid, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 13 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
- For Real Madrid, the final recorded goal situation matched 28 comparable matches from 100 checked matches: 100% win, 0% draw, 0% loss.Verified final
- For AS Roma, the final recorded goal situation matched 1 comparable match from 13 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
- For AS Roma, the final recorded goal situation matched 3 comparable matches from 21 checked matches: 0% win, 0% draw, 100% loss.Verified final
Captured from live match context at . This is a retained situation record, not a post-match performance claim.
Pre-match historical evidence
- 0-2is the most common scoreline between AS Roma and Real Madrid, landing 2 times across 4 league meetings on record.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- 9league matches at home unbeaten for AS Roma.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- AS Roma scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Real Madrid scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable lifecycle evidence
- AS Roma have averaged 1.9 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
- Real Madrid have averaged 2.3 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable lifecycle evidence
Immutable lifecycle evidence · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Questions about this result
What was the final score in AS Roma vs Real Madrid?
Real Madrid beat AS Roma 4-3 in the UEFA Champions League.Who scored the opening goal?
Marten de Roon opened the scoring in the 20th minute.Who scored in the match?
Marten de Roon (20'), Kylian Mbappé (25'), Donyell Malen (51'), Donyell Malen (57'), Carlos Espí (83'), Endrick (85'), Antonio Rüdiger (90').How many bookings were there?
The referee showed 4 yellow cards.Who refereed the match?
François Letexier officiated.When and where was the match played?
AS Roma vs Real Madrid kicked off on Wednesday, 14 October 2026 UK time.How many corners were there in the match?
14 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.Did the model call it right?
Yes. The published pick was Over 2.5 goals, and it landed.When do they play next?
AS Roma play Sassuolo on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time. Real Madrid play Valencia on Saturday, 7 November 2026 UK time.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.