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Serie A · MW3Ref: Andrea Colombo
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

AS Roma 2-1 Atalanta result, stats and report

AS Roma
Won · xG 3.31
2 – 1
FT
Lost · xG 0.88
Atalanta
Next: Como v AS Roma · Sun 11 Oct · Atalanta v Venezia · Mon 12 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AS RomaAtalantaSerie A

The provider forecast gives AS Roma win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.6%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.

AS Roma
47.6%
Draw
26.9%
Atalanta
25.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.7%
Over 2.5 goals
51.8%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

48%
27%
25%
47.6%AS Roma
26.9%Draw
25.5%Atalanta

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 55.7%No 44.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

52%
Yes 51.8%No 48.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.0%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
6.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates AS Roma or draw at 53.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 43.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.0%.

Double Chance

1X
53.1%
12
6.8%
X2
40.1%

Half-Time Result

AS Roma
33.9%
Draw
43.8%
Atalanta
22.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
AS Roma
Draw
Atalanta
AS Roma
27.1%
5.9%
1.8%
Draw
17.8%
17.3%
8.8%
Atalanta
2.8%
5.7%
12.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.0%
No
92.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.