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By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·
AS Roma led through an Éderson own goal before Atalanta produced a stunning two-goal burst in the final minutes, with Mario Hermoso and Matías Soulé completing a dramatic comeback to hand Roma their first Serie A defeat at home in their last ten matches.
No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
39
6
10
2
67%
33%
ShotsOn targetPossession
Provider final · 11:35 · archive check in progressFull stats →
The completed-match archive is not published yet. Current match rows are not substituted into it while verification is pending.
📊 Match recap and data context
Roma defeated Atalanta 2-1 at home in Serie A, landing our model's pick of a Roma win at 48 percent probability. The hosts extended their recent run to four wins in five matches, though the fixture played out as a competitive affair with both sides finding the net. Atalanta's tendency to feature in high-scoring encounters held true, with the match delivering goals at both ends despite Roma's superior recent form. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
The provider forecast gives AS Roma win the highest 1X2 probability at 47.6%. A separately qualified SportSignals Tip has an official settlement record for this fixture.
AS Roma
47.6%
Draw
26.9%
Atalanta
25.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.7%
Over 2.5 goals
51.8%
Forecast result checked ·
Tip record · publication ledgerProof it was published before kickoffImmutable
✦ TIP
SportSignals Tip settlement
Official terminal ledger · each row keeps its exact result
Serie A· published 04:30lost
Under 2.5 goals
Logged at 2.04 with Betfair Exchange
Betfair Exchange offered 2.04 when we checked at 01:05 on 5 Sept.
Betfair Exchange is a betting exchange. It takes a small commission from winnings.
Publication provenance
Immutable Tips ledger · record c97356c9-5d66-4214-91d3-5821e332dbb9 · model publication version not recorded
Source: immutable SportSignals Tips publication ledger. Provider predictions and market prices are separate records and never create a Tip or a settlement result.
Match facts · what the record shows
Pre-match facts retained
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.