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UEFA Champions League Emirates Stadium, London

From kick-off: live commentary, stats, momentum and in-play prices from bet365.

Arsenal vs Real Madrid prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
9 Dec
Arsenal 40%Draw 22%Real Madrid 38%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Arsenal or Real Madrid?

Arsenal vs Real Madrid kicks off UK time in the UEFA Champions League. The match is at Emirates Stadium, London. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Arsenal v Real Madrid: what the model sees

Match-result probability · model

A current match-result forecast is unavailable for this fixture.

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
10.7
xG for
10▼ -0.7
Goals
6.3
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
9.6
xG for
16▲ +6.4
Goals
8.4
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
ArsenalNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Arsenal recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W22.30
2D21.69
3W11.15
4W31.95
5W22.26
6L01.37
Real MadridNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Real Madrid recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W21.55
2W43.00
3W41.74
4W41.96
5W11.07
6L10.30
Arsenal have taken more points than their chances were worth: 13 points against 11.2 expected. Real Madrid have taken more points than their chances were worth: 15 points against 9.1 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Arsenal generated 10.7 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 10, 0.7 below that chance total. Real Madrid generated 9.6 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 16, 6.4 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Arsenal: 6 matches · Real Madrid: 6
Recent team comparison. Arsenal sample 6; Real Madrid sample 6.
MeasureArsenalReal Madrid
Goals / game1.672.67
Conceded / game11.33
xG / game1.781.6
xG conceded / game1.051.4
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Arsenal v Real Madrid

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~19:00
Arsenal11 starters
33Calafiori
4White
8Ødegaard
10Eze
7Saka
29Havertz
Real Madrid11 starters
1Courtois
24Huijsen
8Valverde
5Bellingham
15Güler
14Tchouaméni
7Juniordoubt
30Mastantuono
16García
Out / doubtful
🩹 Kai Havertz injury · 🩹 William Saliba injury · 🩹 Piero Hincapié injury · 🩹 Thibaut Courtois injury · 🩹 Rodrygo injury · 🩹 Ferland Mendy injury · 🩹 Raúl Asencio injury · ❓ Vinicius Junior suspended
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Match Preview · published 1 Sept 2026, 07:30 BST

Arsenal vs Real Madrid: Can the Gunners Exploit a Wounded Giant?

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Real Madrid arrive at the Emirates carrying two consecutive Champions League defeats and a casualty list that raises serious questions about their readiness. Arsenal, unbeaten in their last five in this competition, smell blood.

Read the full preview
📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Arsenal v Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League ·

More from this competition: UEFA Champions League predictions · UEFA Champions League odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Arsenal vs Real Madrid?
    Arsenal vs Real Madrid takes place on Wednesday 9 December at 20:00 (UK time) in the UEFA Champions League at Emirates Stadium, London.
  • How can I watch Arsenal vs Real Madrid?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for UEFA Champions League coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Arsenal vs Real Madrid free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Arsenal vs Real Madrid are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 9 Dec, 20:00 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.