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UEFA Champions League · MW2 Emirates Stadium, London

Arsenal vs Lille prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
13 Oct
Arsenal 56%Draw 22%Lille 22%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Arsenal or Lille?

Arsenal vs Lille kicks off UK time in the UEFA Champions League. The match is at Emirates Stadium, London. Our model has not published a pick for this match yet. Picks and prices land closer to kick-off.

Match intelligence · not a tip

Arsenal are favoured, and the model expects goals

Checked
Win probability · model
Arsenal55.9%
Draw22.3%
Lille21.8%
BTTS yes54.3%
Over 2.555.1%
Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
11.5
xG for
10 -1.5
Goals
4.8
xGA
Last 6 matchesunder-performing xG
6.8
xG for
9 +2.2
Goals
8.4
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
ArsenalNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Arsenal recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W22.14
2W13.60
3W22.06
4W11.22
5W32.08
6D10.43
LilleNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Lille recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W21.47
2L20.97
3W11.03
4D20.72
5W20.96
6L01.64
Arsenal have taken more points than their chances were worth: 15 points against 11.9 expected. Lille have taken more points than their chances were worth: 10 points against 5.3 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Arsenal generated 11.5 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 10, 1.5 below that chance total. Lille generated 6.8 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 9, 2.2 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Arsenal: 6 matches · Lille: 6
Recent team comparison. Arsenal sample 6; Lille sample 6.
MeasureArsenalLille
Goals / game1.671.5
Conceded / game0.331.17
xG / game1.921.13
xG conceded / game0.81.4
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Arsenal v Lille

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~19:00
Arsenal11 starters
1Raya
4White
6Gabriel
49Lewis-Skelly
33Calafiori
3Mosquera
8Ødegaard
41Rice
7Saka
29Havertz
11Martinelli
Lille11 starters
1Özer
18Mbemba
3Ngoy
4Alexsandro
22Santos
12Meunier
15Perraud
6Bentaleb
10Haraldsson
21André
8Mbappé
Out / doubtful
🩹 Cristhian Mosquera injury · 🩹 William Saliba injury · 🩹 Jurriën Timber injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Match Preview · published 13 Sept 2026, 21:00 BST

Arsenal's Fortress Mentality Faces Lille Test in Champions League Showdown

By SportSignals Match Desk · Football analysis desk ·

Arsenal host Lille at the Emirates on Tuesday night with a clean sheet record that demands respect, but questions remain about whether they can push past the draw and actually win this thing. Lille arrive with almost nothing in the way of recent European ev…

Read the full preview
📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Arsenal v Lille · UEFA Champions League ·

More from this competition: UEFA Champions League predictions · UEFA Champions League odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Arsenal vs Lille?
    Arsenal vs Lille takes place on Tuesday 13 October at 20:00 (UK time) in the UEFA Champions League at Emirates Stadium, London.
  • How can I watch Arsenal vs Lille?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for UEFA Champions League coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Arsenal vs Lille free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Arsenal vs Lille are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 13 Oct, 20:00 BST

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.