Arsenal vs Burnley

Premier LeagueFull time · 18 May 2026
Arsenal

Arsenal

Won · xG 1.29DWWWWLast 5
Full time
1 — 0
90+4'
Kai Havertz 37'

Burnley

Lost · xG 0.31DLDLLLast 5
Burnley
PRESSURE INDEX · FINAL▲ Arsenal · last goal · 37'
72
28
Arsenal · 1.29 xG0.31 xG · Burnley

Post-match recap

AI-written

Arsenal beat Burnley 1-0 at Emirates Stadium in a Premier League match where our model's 75 percent pick for an Arsenal win landed cleanly. The hosts controlled proceedings against visitors who arrived winless in their last five games. Arsenal's solitary goal proved decisive in a contest that stayed tight throughout, with neither side finding the back of the net a second time. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

The result maintains Arsenal's position at the summit of the league table. Burnley's sixth straight loss deepens their crisis at 19th place, 10 points adrift of safety. Our AI engine assessed this as a predictable outcome given the 25-goal differential between the sides' recent form; Arsenal's title credentials remain intact while Burnley's survival prospects deteriorate.

Arsenal form

Arsenal secured a 1-0 victory at home, extending their unbeaten run with a clean sheet. The hosts dominated possession and created clear chances; their recent form shows 4 wins in the last 5 matches prior to this fixture. Despite conceding 2 goals across their previous 5 outings, Arsenal's defensive solidity held firm against a Burnley side ranked 19th in the league.

Burnley form

Burnley suffered their sixth consecutive defeat, losing 0-1 to Arsenal. The visitors managed only 3 goals across their last 5 matches while conceding 13. Our model indicated a 60% BTTS probability, yet Burnley failed to score; they remain rooted in the relegation zone with zero clean sheets in their recent run.