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Liga Portugal · MW6Ref: Vitor Jorge Fernandes Ferreira
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Arouca 1-2 Santa Clara result, stats and report

Arouca
Arouca
Lost · xG 1.02
1 – 2
FT 10:55
Santa Clara
Won · xG 1.37
Santa Clara
Match review
Next: Alverca v Arouca · Sat 24 Oct · Santa Clara v Benfica · Mon 26 Oct
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Who won Arouca vs Santa Clara?

Arouca 1-2 Santa Clara, full time in Liga Portugal. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and it was drawn.

How it played out

SAN won it 2–1

AROSAN

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 10:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Arouca 1–2 Santa Clara

Santa Clara took all three points at Arouca with a 2-1 victory in Liga Portugal, scoring twice before half-time through Gonçalo Paciência and Djé before holding on despite finishing the match with ten men.

Liga PortugalSun 13 Sept, 18:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Santa Clara won 2-1 away at Arouca.

Goals

3 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
G
22'⚽
Gonçalo Paciência
DAssist: Djé
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Arouca 1.02 xGSanta Clara 1.37 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Arouca to win

39%Missed

Result

Arouca1:2Santa Clara

ARO v SAN

Our model leaned Arouca to win at 39%. Arouca 1-2 Santa Clara. Forecast did not match the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Arouca fell to Santa Clara 1-2 in Liga Portugal, a result that cost our model's pick of an Arouca win at 39 percent probability. Santa Clara's recent form showed three matches without defeat across their last five outings, while Arouca had managed just two wins in the same span. The visitors' superior consistency in that stretch proved decisive on the day. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Arouca v Santa Clara · Liga Portugal ·

More from this competition: Liga Portugal predictions · Liga Portugal odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Tiago EsgaioARO★ MOTM90 min7.1
  2. Naïs DjouahraARO1 assist · 68 min7.0
  3. Javi SánchezARO90 min7.0
  4. José FontánARO90 min6.9
  5. Taichi FukuiARO90 min6.9

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AroucaSanta ClaraLiga Portugal

The provider forecast gives Arouca win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ARO
39.2%
Draw
28.6%
SAN
32.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
50.2%
Over 2.5 goals
44.3%

Full-time forecast audit: Arouca win was the highest probability; the match result was Santa Clara win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-0is the most common scoreline between Arouca and Santa Clara, landing 2 times across 8 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4/8recorded league meetings saw both teams score (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 10league matches at home unbeaten for Arouca.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 4league matches away from home unbeaten for Santa Clara.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Arouca scored first in 6 of their last 10 league matches (60%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Santa Clara scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Arouca have averaged 1.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Santa Clara have averaged 1.5 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Iván Barbero has the highest listed average xGOT for Arouca at 0.43 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Gonçalo Paciência has the highest listed average xGOT for Santa Clara at 0.44 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Arouca vs Santa Clara?
    SAN beat ARO 2-1 in the Liga Portugal.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Gonçalo Paciência opened the scoring in the 22nd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Gonçalo Paciência (22'), Djé (36'), Iván Barbero (46').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 8 yellow cards and 1 red card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Vitor Jorge Fernandes Ferreira officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    ARO vs SAN kicked off on Sunday, 13 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    ARO play Alverca on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. SAN play Santa Clara on Monday, 26 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.