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Liga Portugal · MW7Ref: Luí­s Carlos Mateus Filipe
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Alverca 1-0 Rio Ave result, stats and report

Alverca
Won · xG 2.39
1 – 0
FT 07:55
Lost · xG 0.47
Rio Ave
Next: Benfica v Alverca · Mon 2 Nov · Rio Ave v Sporting Braga · Sun 8 Nov
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Who won Alverca vs Rio Ave?

Alverca 1-0 Rio Ave, full time in Liga Portugal. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Alverca won it.

How it played out

ALV won it 1–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 07:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Alverca 1–0 Rio Ave

Dawda Camara struck inside three minutes to hand Alverca a 1-0 victory over Rio Ave in the Liga Portugal, as the visitors dominated possession and territory but failed to convert a hatful of big chances.

Key Takeaways
Result

Alverca beat Rio Ave 1-0 at home.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Alverca 2.39 to Rio Ave 0.47 on expected goals.

First Goal
D
3'⚽
Dawda Camara
FAssist: Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Alverca 2.39 xGRio Ave 0.47 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Alverca to win

40%Matched

Result

Alverca1:0Rio Ave

ALV v RIO

Our model called Alverca to win at 40%. Alverca 1-0 Rio Ave. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Alverca beat Rio Ave 1-0 in Liga Portugal, with our model backing an Alverca win at 40 percent probability; the pick landed. Dawda Camara opened the scoring in the third minute, and the hosts held on despite Rio Ave's struggles this season. Alverca's recent form remains patchy at one win in five, though the early goal proved decisive in a low-scoring affair. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Alverca v Rio Ave · Liga Portugal ·

More from this competition: Liga Portugal predictions · Liga Portugal odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Francisco Jorge Tavares OliveiraALV★ MOTM1 assist · 74 min8.0
  2. Davy Jean Carl Kamon GuiALV90 min7.8
  3. Isaac JamesALV90 min7.5
  4. FigueiredoALV68 min7.5
  5. Diogo SpencerALV90 min7.4

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Alverca win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ALV
40.2%
Draw
28.0%
RIO
31.8%
Both teams to score · Yes
49.5%
Over 2.5 goals
43.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Alverca win was the highest probability; the match result was Alverca win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between Alverca and Rio Ave, landing once across 2 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 2/2recorded league meetings saw both teams score (100%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 12league matches at home unbeaten for Alverca.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Alverca scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Rio Ave scored first in 2 of their last 10 league matches (20%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Alverca have averaged 1.1 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Rio Ave have averaged 0.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Dawda Camara has the highest listed average xGOT for Alverca at 1.63 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Jalen Blesa has the highest listed average xGOT for Rio Ave at 0.54 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Alverca vs Rio Ave?
    ALV beat RIO 1-0 in the Liga Portugal.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Dawda Camara opened the scoring in the 3rd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Dawda Camara (3').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 4 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Luí­s Carlos Mateus Filipe officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    ALV vs RIO kicked off on Saturday, 19 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    11 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    ALV play Benfica on Monday, 2 November 2026 UK time. RIO play Rio Ave on Sunday, 8 November 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.