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La Liga 2 · MW6Ref: Rafael Sánchez López
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Almería 2-0 Celta Fortuna result, stats and report

Almería
Won · xG 2.59
2 – 0
FT 06:05
Lost · xG 0.61
Celta Fortuna
Next: Almería v Oviedo · Sat 24 Oct · Celta Fortuna v Tenerife · Mon 19 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AlmeríaCelta FortunaLa Liga 2

The provider forecast gives Almería win the highest 1X2 probability at 57.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ALM
57.0%
Draw
24.0%
CEL
19.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.2%
Over 2.5 goals
53.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Almería win was the highest probability; the match result was Almería win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

57%
24%
19%
57.0%ALM
24.0%Draw
19.0%CEL

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.2%No 45.8%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

54%
Yes 53.8%No 46.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
54%
Over 3.5
30%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.2%
2-1
11.0%
1-0
11.0%
2-0
9.4%
0-0
6.5%
3-0
5.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ALM or draw at 63.5%; the most likely half-time state is ALM leading at half-time at 43.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.5%.

Double Chance

1X
63.5%
12
6.5%
X2
29.9%

Half-Time Result

ALM
43.5%
Draw
41.5%
CEL
15.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ALM
Draw
CEL
ALM
35.1%
5.8%
1.7%
Draw
20.3%
15.4%
6.4%
CEL
3.4%
4.1%
7.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.5%
No
89.5%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.