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La Liga 2 · MW6Ref: Rafael Sánchez López
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Almería 2-0 Celta Fortuna result, stats and report

Almería
Won · xG 2.59
2 – 0
FT 06:05
Lost · xG 0.61
Celta Fortuna
Next: Almería v Oviedo · Sat 24 Oct · Celta Fortuna v Tenerife · Mon 19 Oct
Skip match sections

Who won Almería vs Celta Fortuna?

Almería 2-0 Celta Fortuna, full time in La Liga 2. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land.

How it played out

ALM won it 2–0

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 3 · 06:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Almería 2–0 Celta Fortuna

Almería put Celta Fortuna to the sword inside 18 minutes through Nico Melamed and Javi Muñoz, and never looked troubled thereafter. Celta Fortuna had the ball but had absolutely nothing to show for it.

Key Takeaways
Result

Almería beat Celta Fortuna 2-0 at home.

Goals

Two goals kept the match under the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: Almería 2.59 to Celta Fortuna 0.61 on expected goals.

First Goal
N
6'⚽
Nico Melamed
JAssist: Javi Muñoz
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Almería 2.59 xGCelta Fortuna 0.61 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Almería to win

57%Matched

Result

Almería2:0Celta Fortuna

ALM v CEL

Our model called Almería to win at 57%. Almería 2-0 Celta Fortuna. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Almería beat Celta Fortuna 2-0 in La Liga 2, with goals from Nico Melamed in the sixth minute and Javi Muñoz in the eighteenth. Our model favored an Almería win at 57% probability, and the pick landed. The hosts controlled the match early, striking twice before the quarter hour and shutting out a Celta Fortuna side that had failed to score in their previous five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Almería v Celta Fortuna · La Liga 2 ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Javi Muñoz★ MOTM1 goal · 1 assist · 90 min8.2
  2. Adrián EmbarbaALM79 min7.9
  3. Marcos LunaALM1 assist · 90 min7.7
  4. ChumiALM90 min7.2
  5. Nico MelamedALM1 goal · 62 min7.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Almería win the highest 1X2 probability at 57.0%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ALM
57.0%
Draw
24.0%
CEL
19.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.2%
Over 2.5 goals
53.8%

Full-time forecast audit: Almería win was the highest probability; the match result was Almería win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 42league matches at home unbeaten for Almería.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 2league matches away from home unbeaten for Celta Fortuna.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Almería scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Almería have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Javi Muñoz has the highest listed average xGOT for Almería at 0.77 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Álvaro Marín has the highest listed average xGOT for Celta Fortuna at 0.86 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Almería vs Celta Fortuna?
    ALM beat CEL 2-0 in the La Liga 2.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Nico Melamed opened the scoring in the 6th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Nico Melamed (6'), Javi Muñoz (18').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 1 yellow card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Rafael Sánchez López officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    ALM vs CEL kicked off on Sunday, 20 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    7 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    ALM play Almería on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. CEL play Celta Fortuna on Monday, 19 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.