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La Liga · MW6 Estadio de Mendizorroza, Vitoria-GasteizRef: Miguel Sesma Espinosa
Full time

This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.

Deportivo Alaves 0-1 Valencia result, stats and report

Deportivo Alaves
Lost · xG 1.00
0 – 1
FT 11:45
Won · xG 0.69
Valencia
Next: Valencia v Real Madrid · Sat 7 Nov
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Deportivo AlavesValenciaLa Liga

The provider forecast gives Deportivo Alaves win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Deportivo Alaves
41.4%
Draw
27.6%
Valencia
31.0%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.4%
Over 2.5 goals
49.0%

Full-time forecast audit: Deportivo Alaves win was the highest probability; the match result was Valencia win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

41%
28%
31%
41.4%Deportivo Alaves
27.6%Draw
31.0%Valencia

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.4%No 45.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

49%
Yes 49.0%No 51.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
73%
Over 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
28%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
7.3%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Deportivo Alaves or draw at 49.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 48.9%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.9%.

Double Chance

1X
49.3%
12
7.9%
X2
42.8%

Half-Time Result

Deportivo Alaves
29.7%
Draw
48.9%
Valencia
21.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Deportivo Alaves
Draw
Valencia
Deportivo Alaves
22.7%
5.7%
2.0%
Draw
15.6%
20.0%
11.5%
Valencia
2.8%
4.8%
15.0%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.9%
No
94.1%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.