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This match had live commentary, stats and in-play prices; no momentum.
Deportivo Alaves 0-1 Valencia, full time in La Liga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land. Before this meeting the sides had met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Deportivo Alaves winning 0, Valencia winning 1 and 1 drawn.
Valencia ended a run of four consecutive La Liga defeats with a gritty 1-0 win at Deportivo Alaves, substitute Luis Rioja settling the contest with a right-foot finish twelve minutes from time. Alaves dominated large portions of the match but paid the price…
Read the reviewNo minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.
Deportivo Alaves 0–1 Valencia
Valencia ended a run of four consecutive La Liga defeats with a gritty 1-0 win at Deportivo Alaves, substitute Luis Rioja settling the contest with a right-foot finish twelve minutes from time. Alaves dominated large portions of the match but paid the price for squandering two big chances.
Valencia won 1-0 away at Deportivo Alaves.
A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.
Expected Goals (xG)
SportSignals model forecast
Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip
Deportivo Alaves to win
Result
0:1
Deportivo Alaves v Valencia
Valencia won 1-0 at Mendizorroza, with Luis Rioja scoring in the 78th minute. Our model backed Deportivo Alaves at 41 percent probability and missed the call. Valencia's recent form showed three wins in five games, while Alaves had managed just one victory across the same stretch. The hosts, despite a 80 percent both-teams-to-score rate in their last five outings, could not find the net. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.
Deportivo Alaves v Valencia · La Liga ·
More from this competition: La Liga predictions · La Liga odds
Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip
The provider forecast gives Deportivo Alaves win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.
Full-time forecast audit: Deportivo Alaves win was the highest probability; the match result was Valencia win.
Forecast result checked ·
No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.
Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle
The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.
Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.
Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.
After 11 played. Movement is measured against the table at kickoff.
