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Saudi Pro League · MW6Ref: Ismail Elfath
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Al-Qadsiah 3-2 Al Ahli result, stats and report

Al-Qadsiah
Won · xG 1.86
3 – 2
FT 16:05
Lost · xG 1.23
Al Ahli
Next: Al-Qadsiah v Abha · Fri 16 Oct · Al Ahli v Al Nassr · Thu 15 Oct
Skip match sections

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Al-QadsiahAl AhliSaudi Pro League

The provider forecast gives Al-Qadsiah win the highest 1X2 probability at 56.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

QAD
56.4%
Draw
21.1%
AHL
22.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.3%
Over 2.5 goals
59.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Al-Qadsiah win was the highest probability; the match result was Al-Qadsiah win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

56%
21%
22%
56.4%QAD
21.1%Draw
22.5%AHL

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 56.3%No 43.7%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

59%
Yes 59.5%No 40.5%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
36%

Most Likely Correct Scores

2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates QAD or draw at 61.9%; the most likely half-time state is QAD leading at half-time at 40.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 12.8%.

Double Chance

1X
61.9%
12
4.9%
X2
33.1%

Half-Time Result

QAD
40.2%
Draw
38.4%
AHL
21.4%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
QAD
Draw
AHL
QAD
34.6%
4.8%
2.4%
Draw
15.8%
12.5%
8.3%
AHL
4.5%
4.3%
12.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
12.8%
No
87.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.