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Saudi Pro League · MW6Ref: Ismail Elfath
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Al-Qadsiah 3-2 Al Ahli result, stats and report

Al-Qadsiah
Al-Qadsiah
Won · xG 1.86
3 – 2
FT 16:05
Al Ahli
Lost · xG 1.23
Al Ahli
Match review
Next: Al-Qadsiah v Abha · Fri 16 Oct · Al Ahli v Al Nassr · Thu 15 Oct
Skip match sections

Who won Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ahli?

Al-Qadsiah 3-2 Al Ahli, full time in the Saudi Pro League. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals, which landed. Before this meeting the sides had met once in the fixtures we hold, and Al-Qadsiah won it.

How it played out

QAD won it 3–2

QADAHL

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 5 · 16:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

Al-Qadsiah 3–2 Al Ahli

Tijjani Reijnders scored twice, including a header deep into first-half stoppage time, as Al-Qadsiah held off a determined Ivan Toney fightback to win 3-2 against Al Ahli in the Saudi Pro League.

Saudi Pro LeagueTue 8 Sept, 19:00
Key Takeaways
Result

Al-Qadsiah beat Al Ahli 3-2 at home.

Goals

5 goals took the match over the 2.5 line.

First Goal
T
14'⚽
Tijjani Reijnders2 goals in match
MAssist: Musab Al-Juwayr
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

Al-Qadsiah 1.86 xGAl Ahli 1.23 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

Al-Qadsiah to win

56%Matched

Result

Al-Qadsiah3:2Al Ahli

QAD v AHL

Our model called Al-Qadsiah to win at 56%. Al-Qadsiah 3-2 Al Ahli. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Al-Qadsiah defeated Al Ahli 3-2 in the Saudi Pro League, landing our model's 56% pick for a Qadsiah victory. The hosts extended their perfect run to five straight wins while both sides found the net, consistent with their recent form; Al Ahli had lost three of their previous five outings heading into the match. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Al-Qadsiah v Al Ahli · Saudi Pro League ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Ivan ToneyAHL★ MOTM2 goals · 90 min8.4
  2. Mohammed Abu Al-ShamatQAD1 goal · 1 assist · 88 min8.4
  3. Tijjani Reijnders2 goals · 90 min8.1
  4. Musab Al-JuwayrQAD1 assist · 69 min8.1
  5. Christopher Bonsu BaahQAD1 assist · 90 min7.6

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Al-QadsiahAl AhliSaudi Pro League

The provider forecast gives Al-Qadsiah win the highest 1X2 probability at 56.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

QAD
56.4%
Draw
21.1%
AHL
22.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.3%
Over 2.5 goals
59.5%

Full-time forecast audit: Al-Qadsiah win was the highest probability; the match result was Al-Qadsiah win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 0-2is the most common scoreline between Al-Qadsiah and Al Ahli, landing 2 times across 14 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 6/14recorded league meetings saw both teams score (42.9%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 41league matches at home unbeaten for Al-Qadsiah.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Al-Qadsiah scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Al Ahli scored first in 8 of their last 10 league matches (80%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Al-Qadsiah have averaged 2.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Al Ahli have averaged 2.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Julián Quiñones has the highest listed average xGOT for Al-Qadsiah at 0.86 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Edouard Mendy has the highest listed average xGOT for Al Ahli at 1.00 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ahli?
    QAD beat AHL 3-2 in the Saudi Pro League.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Tijjani Reijnders opened the scoring in the 14th minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Tijjani Reijnders (14'), Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat (46'), Tijjani Reijnders (48'), Ivan Toney (63'), Ivan Toney (82').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Ismail Elfath officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    QAD vs AHL kicked off on Tuesday, 8 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    11 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Over 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    QAD play Al-Qadsiah on Friday, 16 October 2026 UK time. AHL play Al Ahli on Thursday, 15 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.