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Saudi Pro League · MW3Ref: Jesús Valenzuela Sáez
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

Al Hilal 3-0 Al Ahli result, stats and report

Al Hilal
Won · xG 1.61
3 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 1.12
Al Ahli
Next: Al-Qadsiah v Al Hilal · Fri 23 Oct · Al Ahli v Al Khaleej · Thu 22 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

Al HilalAl AhliSaudi Pro League

The provider forecast gives Al Hilal win the highest 1X2 probability at 58.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ALH
58.2%
Draw
21.7%
AHL
20.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
57.5%
Over 2.5 goals
61.1%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

58%
22%
20%
58.2%ALH
21.7%Draw
20.1%AHL

Both Teams to Score

58%
Yes 57.5%No 42.5%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

61%
Yes 61.1%No 38.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
83%
Over 2.5
61%
Over 3.5
39%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.7%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
3-0
6.0%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ALH or draw at 60.4%; the most likely half-time state is ALH leading at half-time at 43.8%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 15.4%.

Double Chance

1X
60.4%
12
4.6%
X2
35.0%

Half-Time Result

ALH
43.8%
Draw
37.2%
AHL
19.0%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ALH
Draw
AHL
ALH
37.7%
4.6%
1.7%
Draw
15.7%
13.1%
7.5%
AHL
4.1%
4.2%
11.4%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
15.4%
No
84.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.