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Saudi Pro League · MW11

From kick-off: live commentary, stats and in-play prices. No momentum for this competition.

Al-Qadsiah vs Al Hilal prediction, odds and how to watch

Kicks off in
5d 3h
QAD 26%Draw 28%ALH 46%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Al-Qadsiah or Al Hilal?

Al-Qadsiah vs Al Hilal kicks off UK time in the Saudi Pro League. Our model's pick is Al Hilal to win at a 49.9% modelled probability. These sides have met once in the fixtures we hold, and it was drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

ALH has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
QAD26.2%
Draw27.6%
ALH46.2%
BTTS yes56.3%

Updated

Over 2.553.5%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
14.4
xG for
18▲ +3.6
Goals
6.9
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
13.6
xG for
19▲ +5.4
Goals
6.6
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
Al-QadsiahNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Al-Qadsiah recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W21.70
2W55.18
3D32.40
4W31.86
5W21.16
6W32.10
Al HilalNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Al Hilal recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W32.46
2W64.60
3L01.48
4W21.17
5W31.61
6W52.31
Al-Qadsiah have taken more points than their chances were worth: 16 points against 12.5 expected. Al Hilal have taken more points than their chances were worth: 15 points against 12.0 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Al-Qadsiah generated 14.4 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 18, 3.6 above that chance total. Al Hilal generated 13.6 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 19, 5.4 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

QAD: 6 matches · ALH: 6
Recent team comparison. Al-Qadsiah sample 6; Al Hilal sample 6.
MeasureAl-QadsiahAl Hilal
Goals / game33.17
Conceded / game1.170.83
xG / game2.42.27
xG conceded / game1.151.1
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Al-Qadsiah v Al Hilal

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Match information remains available while viewing options resolve privately.

Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~18:00
QAD11 starters
1Casteels
17Álvarez
2Al-Shamat
6Fernández
4Thakri
71Al-Thani
10Al-Juwayr
5Weigl
32Retegui
22Baah
33Quiñones
ALH11 starters
37Bounou
3Koulibaly
24Al-Harbi
87Tambakti
20Cancelo
78Lajami
8Neves
22Milinkovic-Savic
28Kanno
89Al-Malki
7Núñez
Out / doubtful
🩹 Waleed Al-Ahmad injury · 🩹 Hamad Al-Yami injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Editorial publication status

Match Preview not published yet

Fixture facts, team form and model probabilities remain available in their own sections while the editorial Preview is absent.

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Al-Qadsiah v Al Hilal · Saudi Pro League ·

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Al-Qadsiah vs Al Hilal?
    Al-Qadsiah vs Al Hilal takes place on Friday 23 October at 19:00 (UK time) in the Saudi Pro League.
  • Who is the model backing in Al-Qadsiah vs Al Hilal?
    Our model's pick is Al Hilal to win (match result), with around 50% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Al-Qadsiah and Al Hilal?
    In their last 1 meetings, Al-Qadsiah won 0, Al Hilal won 0, with 1 draw. Both teams scored in 1 of those 1.
  • How can I watch Al-Qadsiah vs Al Hilal?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Saudi Pro League coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Hilal free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Hilal are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 23 Oct, 19:00 BST

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.