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UEFA Europa Conference League Johan Cruijff Arena, AmsterdamRef: Julian Weinberger
Full time

This match had in-play prices; no live commentary, stats or momentum.

Ajax 5-3 Sion result, stats and report

Ajax
Won · xG 3.53
5 – 3
FT
Lost · xG 1.66
Sion
Next: Ajax v NEC Nijmegen · Sat 10 Oct · Servette v Sion · Sat 10 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

The provider forecast gives Ajax win the highest 1X2 probability at 53.2%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

Ajax
53.2%
Draw
23.0%
SIO
23.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.8%
Over 2.5 goals
55.7%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

53%
23%
24%
53.2%Ajax
23.0%Draw
23.9%SIO

Both Teams to Score

55%
Yes 54.8%No 45.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

56%
Yes 55.7%No 44.3%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
78%
Over 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
34%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
6.0%
1-2
5.9%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates Ajax or draw at 56.8%; the most likely half-time state is Ajax leading at half-time at 39.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 10.4%.

Double Chance

1X
56.8%
12
6.0%
X2
37.2%

Half-Time Result

Ajax
39.4%
Draw
35.9%
SIO
24.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
Ajax
Draw
SIO
Ajax
30.6%
4.8%
2.8%
Draw
15.6%
11.6%
9.3%
SIO
2.6%
4.5%
18.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
10.4%
No
89.6%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.