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UEFA Europa LeagueRef: Daniel Siebert
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

AGF 1-3 Benfica result, stats and report

AGF
Lost · xG 0.56
1 – 3
FT
Won · xG 1.61
Benfica
Next: AGF v Sønderjyske Fodbold · Mon 12 Oct · Benfica v Vitória Guimarães · Sun 11 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AGFBenficaUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives Benfica win the highest 1X2 probability at 44.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

AGF
29.6%
Draw
25.5%
SLB
44.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
52.8%
Over 2.5 goals
51.3%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

30%
25%
45%
29.6%AGF
25.5%Draw
44.9%SLB

Both Teams to Score

53%
Yes 52.8%No 47.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%
Yes 51.3%No 48.8%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
29%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.3%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.7%
0-2
7.5%
0-0
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SLB or draw at 50.1%; the most likely half-time state is SLB leading at half-time at 37.1%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 3.8%.

Double Chance

1X
42.5%
12
7.5%
X2
50.1%

Half-Time Result

AGF
26.4%
Draw
36.5%
SLB
37.1%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
AGF
Draw
SLB
AGF
16.4%
3.8%
3.6%
Draw
11.9%
14.1%
12.3%
SLB
1.7%
4.5%
31.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
3.8%
No
96.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.