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League One · MW6Ref: Elliot Swallow
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Doncaster Rovers result, stats and report

AFC Wimbledon
Won · xG 1.16
1 – 0
FT 08:05
Lost · xG 2.28
Doncaster Rovers
Next: AFC Wimbledon v Mansfield Town · Tue 20 Oct · Doncaster Rovers v Stockport County · Tue 20 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AFC WimbledonDoncaster RoversLeague One

The provider forecast gives AFC Wimbledon win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

AWM
39.5%
Draw
26.4%
DNR
34.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.0%
Over 2.5 goals
50.9%

Full-time forecast audit: AFC Wimbledon win was the highest probability; the match result was AFC Wimbledon win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

39%
26%
34%
39.5%AWM
26.4%Draw
34.2%DNR

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.0%No 46.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

51%
Yes 50.9%No 49.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
29%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
12.1%
1-0
9.1%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates DNR or draw at 47.2%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 45.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.8%.

Double Chance

1X
45.4%
12
7.5%
X2
47.2%

Half-Time Result

AWM
24.6%
Draw
45.5%
DNR
29.9%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
AWM
Draw
DNR
AWM
18.2%
5.4%
2.4%
Draw
11.5%
18.0%
14.6%
DNR
2.3%
5.4%
22.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.8%
No
94.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.