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League One · MW6Ref: Elliot Swallow
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Doncaster Rovers result, stats and report

AFC Wimbledon
AFC Wimbledon
Won · xG 1.16
1 – 0
FT 08:05
Doncaster Rovers
Lost · xG 2.28
Doncaster Rovers
Match review
Next: AFC Wimbledon v Mansfield Town · Tue 20 Oct · Doncaster Rovers v Stockport County · Tue 20 Oct
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Who won AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Rovers?

AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Doncaster Rovers, full time in League One. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Both teams to score, which did not land.

How it played out

AWM won it 1–0

AWMDNR

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 08:05Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

AFC Wimbledon 1–0 Doncaster Rovers

Myles Hippolyte's first-half free kick proved the difference as AFC Wimbledon held on for a 1-0 League One victory over Doncaster Rovers, who created chance after chance and finished with nothing to show for it.

League OneSat 12 Sept, 15:00
Key Takeaways
Result

AFC Wimbledon beat Doncaster Rovers 1-0 at home.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

AFC Wimbledon won against the run of the chances: AFC Wimbledon 1.16 to Doncaster Rovers 2.28 on expected goals, which favoured Doncaster Rovers.

First Goal
M
43'⚽
Myles Hippolyte
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

AFC Wimbledon 1.16 xGDoncaster Rovers 2.28 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

AFC Wimbledon to win

39%Matched

Result

AFC Wimbledon1:0Doncaster Rovers

AWM v DNR

Our model called AFC Wimbledon to win at 39%. AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Doncaster Rovers. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

AFC Wimbledon host Doncaster Rovers in League One on September 12 at 14:00 UTC. Wimbledon have won none of their last five matches and have failed to see both teams score in that run, while Doncaster show one win and one draw from five with both teams scoring in half their recent outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

AFC Wimbledon v Doncaster Rovers · League One ·

More from this competition: League One predictions · League One odds

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Josef Bursik★ MOTM90 min9.6
  2. Alfie May90 min7.4
  3. B. HanlanDNR90 min7.3
  4. Isaac OgundereAWM90 min7.3
  5. Ryan Anthony JohnsonAWM90 min7.2

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AFC WimbledonDoncaster RoversLeague One

The provider forecast gives AFC Wimbledon win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.5%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

AWM
39.5%
Draw
26.4%
DNR
34.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.0%
Over 2.5 goals
50.9%

Full-time forecast audit: AFC Wimbledon win was the highest probability; the match result was AFC Wimbledon win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 2-0is the most common scoreline between AFC Wimbledon and Doncaster Rovers, landing 3 times across 11 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 6/11recorded league meetings saw both teams score (54.5%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 2league matches at home unbeaten for AFC Wimbledon.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • AFC Wimbledon scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Doncaster Rovers scored first in 4 of their last 10 league matches (40%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • AFC Wimbledon have averaged 0.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Doncaster Rovers have averaged 1.4 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Matty Stevens has the highest listed average xGOT for AFC Wimbledon at 0.68 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Owen Bailey has the highest listed average xGOT for Doncaster Rovers at 0.51 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Rovers?
    AWM beat DNR 1-0 in the League One.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Myles Hippolyte opened the scoring in the 43rd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Myles Hippolyte (43').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 5 yellow cards.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Elliot Swallow officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    AWM vs DNR kicked off on Saturday, 12 September 2026 UK time.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    12 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    No. The published pick was Both teams to score, and it did not land.
  • When do they play next?
    AWM play AFC Wimbledon on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 UK time. DNR play Doncaster Rovers on Tuesday, 20 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.