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Carabao Cup Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset

From kick-off: live commentary, stats and in-play prices. No momentum for this competition.

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
28 Oct
Bournemouth 37%Draw 24%Aston Villa 39%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back Bournemouth or Aston Villa?

Bournemouth vs Aston Villa kicks off UK time in the Carabao Cup. The match is at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset. Our model's pick is Both teams to score at a 59.7% modelled probability. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with Bournemouth winning 0, Aston Villa winning 1 and 1 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

No clear match-result favourite · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Draw23.7%
BTTS yes59.7%

Updated

Over 2.561.3%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts before kick-off

No approved historical Match Facts are available for this fixture. Nothing is inferred from missing provider coverage.

Match Facts feed warming up

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
10.6
xG for
12▲ +1.4
Goals
5.0
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
11.4
xG for
16▲ +4.6
Goals
9.0
xGA
Last 6 matchesover-performing xG
BournemouthNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Bournemouth recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W33.32
2L11.03
3L01.12
4W20.88
5D22.09
6W42.12
Aston VillaNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG

Aston Villa recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W11.73
2W63.11
3D21.78
4W31.53
5W32.20
6L11.06
Bournemouth have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 10 points against 11.3 expected. Aston Villa have taken more points than their chances were worth: 13 points against 9.7 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
Bournemouth generated 10.6 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 12, 1.4 above that chance total. Aston Villa generated 11.4 xG across their last 6 matches and scored 16, 4.6 above that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

Bournemouth: 6 matches · Aston Villa: 6
Recent team comparison. Bournemouth sample 6; Aston Villa sample 6.
MeasureBournemouthAston Villa
Goals / game22.67
Conceded / game1.51.17
xG / game1.771.9
xG conceded / game0.831.5
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 6 and 6 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch Bournemouth v Aston Villa

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Match information remains available while viewing options resolve privately.

Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~18:45
Bournemouth11 starters
1Petrovic
15Smith
23Hill
3Truffert
16Tavernier
19Kluivert
8Scott
12Adams
9Evanilson
26Ünal
37Rayan
Aston Villa11 starters
23Martínez
3Lindelöf
16García
7McGinn
44Kamara
8Tielemans
27Rogers
21Luiz
8Hemmings
19Iling-Junior
10Buendía
Out / doubtful
🩹 Alex Scott injury · 🩹 Eli Kroupi injury · 🩹 Justin Kluivert injury · 🩹 David Brooks injury · 🩹 Veljko Milosavljevic injury · 🩹 Amadou Onana injury · 🩹 Ian Maatsen injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

Editorial publication status

Match Preview not published yet

Fixture facts, team form and model probabilities remain available in their own sections while the editorial Preview is absent.

📊 Match preview and data context

No AI summary available yet for this fixture.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

Bournemouth v Aston Villa · Carabao Cup ·

Questions about this match

  • When and where is Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?
    Bournemouth vs Aston Villa takes place on Wednesday 28 October at 19:45 (UK time) in the Carabao Cup at Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth, Dorset.
  • Who is the model backing in Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?
    Our model's pick is Both teams to score (btts), with around 60% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between Bournemouth and Aston Villa?
    In their last 2 meetings, Bournemouth won 0, Aston Villa won 1, with 1 draw. Both teams scored in 1 of those 2.
  • How can I watch Bournemouth vs Aston Villa?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Carabao Cup coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for Bournemouth vs Aston Villa free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for Bournemouth vs Aston Villa are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 28 Oct, 19:45 GMT

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.