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Eredivisie · MW5Ref: Ingmar Oostrom
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

ADO Den Haag 2-3 Fortuna Sittard result, stats and report

ADO Den Haag
Lost · xG 0.43
2 – 3
FT 11:35
Won · xG 0.39
Fortuna Sittard
Next: ADO Den Haag v PSV Eindhoven · Sat 17 Oct · NEC Nijmegen v Fortuna Sittard · Sun 18 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

ADO Den HaagFortuna SittardEredivisie

The provider forecast gives ADO Den Haag win the highest 1X2 probability at 55.4%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

ADO
55.4%
Draw
21.3%
Fortuna Sittard
23.4%
Both teams to score · Yes
58.4%
Over 2.5 goals
63.8%

Full-time forecast audit: ADO Den Haag win was the highest probability; the match result was Fortuna Sittard win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveslost

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

55%
21%
23%
55.4%ADO
21.3%Draw
23.4%Fortuna Sittard

Both Teams to Score

58%
Yes 58.4%No 41.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

64%
Yes 63.8%No 36.2%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
64%
Over 3.5
42%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
2-0
7.4%
1-0
7.3%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.8%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates ADO or draw at 66.5%; the most likely half-time state is ADO leading at half-time at 48.6%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 16.8%.

Double Chance

1X
66.5%
12
4.2%
X2
29.2%

Half-Time Result

ADO
48.6%
Draw
34.6%
Fortuna Sittard
16.8%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
ADO
Draw
Fortuna Sittard
ADO
44.0%
3.4%
1.4%
Draw
18.1%
11.4%
4.9%
Fortuna Sittard
3.9%
4.4%
8.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
16.8%
No
83.2%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.