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UEFA Europa League · Wed, 16 Sept 2026, 20:00 KO Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

AC Milan vs Benfica prediction, odds and how to watch

Kickoff
16 Sept
AC Milan 32%Draw 25%SLB 43%
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Provider prediction · not a Tip

Match intelligence

AC MilanBenficaUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives Benfica win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.5%. The Tip publication window remains open; no Tip is recorded yet, so no no-Tip decision is inferred.

AC Milan
31.9%
Draw
24.6%
SLB
43.5%
Both teams to score · Yes
54.4%
Over 2.5 goals
55.1%

Provider forecast checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus Edge
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Edge separately compares a probability with an eligible price.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

32%
25%
43%
31.9%AC Milan
24.6%Draw
43.5%SLB

Both Teams to Score

54%
Yes 54.4%No 45.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

55%
Yes 55.1%No 44.9%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
77%
Over 2.5
55%
Over 3.5
32%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.1%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
7.6%
1-0
7.5%
0-2
6.6%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SLB or draw at 53.9%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.2%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 4.2%.

Double Chance

1X
39.9%
12
6.2%
X2
53.9%

Half-Time Result

AC Milan
21.5%
Draw
41.2%
SLB
37.3%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
AC Milan
Draw
SLB
AC Milan
14.4%
3.9%
3.3%
Draw
11.6%
13.3%
15.3%
SLB
1.6%
4.9%
31.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
4.2%
No
95.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.