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UEFA Europa League · MW1 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, MilanoRef: Jarred Gillett
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

AC Milan 0-2 Benfica result, stats and report

AC Milan
Lost · xG 1.30
0 – 2
FT 12:55
Won · xG 0.87
Benfica
Next: AC Milan v Bologna · Wed 28 Oct · Santa Clara v Benfica · Mon 26 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AC MilanBenficaUEFA Europa League

The provider forecast gives Benfica win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

AC Milan
31.7%
Draw
24.4%
SLB
43.9%
Both teams to score · Yes
56.9%
Over 2.5 goals
58.9%

Full-time forecast audit: Benfica win was the highest probability; the match result was Benfica win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultlost
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

32%
24%
44%
31.7%AC Milan
24.4%Draw
43.9%SLB

Both Teams to Score

57%
Yes 56.9%No 43.1%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

59%
Yes 58.9%No 41.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
80%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
37%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.5%
1-2
8.5%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.5%
1-0
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates SLB or draw at 53.5%; the most likely half-time state is SLB leading at half-time at 38.5%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 5.2%.

Double Chance

1X
41.0%
12
5.5%
X2
53.5%

Half-Time Result

AC Milan
23.0%
Draw
38.5%
SLB
38.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
AC Milan
Draw
SLB
AC Milan
13.3%
4.7%
3.4%
Draw
11.1%
13.7%
15.1%
SLB
1.5%
4.3%
32.9%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
5.2%
No
94.8%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.