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Norwegian Eliteserien · MW20Ref: Jørgen Haugen
Full time

This match had in-play prices; no live commentary, stats or momentum.

Aalesund 2-0 Start result, stats and report

Aalesund
Won · xG 1.86
2 – 0
FT
Lost · xG 1.02
Start
Next: Kristiansund v Aalesund · Sat 17 Oct · Molde v Start · Sun 18 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

AalesundStartNorwegian Eliteserien

The provider forecast gives Aalesund win the highest 1X2 probability at 39.6%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

AAL
39.6%
Draw
26.1%
STA
34.3%
Both teams to score · Yes
55.7%
Over 2.5 goals
52.9%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancelost
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

40%
26%
34%
39.6%AAL
26.1%Draw
34.3%STA

Both Teams to Score

56%
Yes 55.7%No 44.3%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

53%
Yes 52.9%No 47.1%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
32%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
11.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates STA or draw at 46.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 40.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 7.0%.

Double Chance

1X
46.3%
12
7.4%
X2
46.3%

Half-Time Result

AAL
29.8%
Draw
40.7%
STA
29.5%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
AAL
Draw
STA
AAL
21.2%
4.7%
4.3%
Draw
14.1%
13.5%
12.3%
STA
3.9%
6.2%
19.8%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
7.0%
No
93.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.