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Bundesliga · MW5 PreZero Arena, Sinsheim

From kick-off: live commentary, stats and in-play prices. No momentum for this competition.

1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV prediction, odds and how to watch

Kicks off in
2d 7h
1899 Hoffenheim 51%Draw 22%Hamburger SV 27%
Kickoff and the final result. Lineups and goals are one switch more.
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Should you back 1899 Hoffenheim or Hamburger SV?

1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV kicks off UK time in the Bundesliga. The match is at PreZero Arena, Sinsheim. Our model's pick is Both teams to score at a 63.6% modelled probability. These sides have met 2 times in the fixtures we hold, with 1899 Hoffenheim winning 2, Hamburger SV winning 0 and 0 drawn.

Match intelligence · not a tip

1899 Hoffenheim has the highest forecast probability · Over 2.5 goals is more likely

Match-result model updated
Match-result probability · model
Draw21.7%
BTTS yes64.3%

Updated

Over 2.566.2%

Updated

Head to head · last 6Full H2H →

No recorded meetings between these two sides yet.

Provider forecast · Prediction tab · Methodology

Match facts

Match facts before kick-off

Head-to-head evidence
  • 3-0is the most common scoreline between 1899 Hoffenheim and Hamburger SV, landing 4 times across 13 league meetings on record.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 6/13recorded league meetings saw both teams score (46.1%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 13league matches at home unbeaten for 1899 Hoffenheim.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 1899Hoffenheim scored first in 7 of their last 10 league matches (70%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Hamburger SV scored first in 3 of their last 10 league matches (30%).Latest pre-match snapshot
  • 1899Hoffenheim have averaged 1.7 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Hamburger SV have averaged 1.0 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Andrej Kramaric has the highest listed average xGOT for 1899 Hoffenheim at 0.60 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
  • Nicolás Capaldo has the highest listed average xGOT for Hamburger SV at 0.26 across the provider's evidence window.Latest pre-match snapshot
Swipe or use arrows · 1 of 9

Useful historical patterns from our match facts feed, with the evidence window stated in each claim.Source: match facts feed · · Scope: league matches

Match Facts feed current.

Form & xG · last 6 games

Rolling across all competitions
9.5
xG · 5/6
7
Goals
5.6
xGA
Last 6 matches
5.6
xG · 5/6
6
Goals
10.8
xGA
Last 6 matches
1899 HoffenheimNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG · xG available for 5 of 6

1899 Hoffenheim recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1L11.76
2L02.18
3W22.27
4L2Unavailable
5L21.43
6L01.83
Hamburger SVNewest first

Goalsoutlined xG · xG available for 5 of 6

Hamburger SV recent goals and expected goals, newest match first
MatchResultGoalsxG
1W21.56
2L00.85
3L00.26
4L00.30
5D12.63
6W3Unavailable
1899 Hoffenheim have taken fewer points than their chances were worth: 3 points against 7.5 expected.Expected points reruns each match from its chances alone.
1899 Hoffenheim generated 9.5 xG across 5 of their last 6 matches with xG data and scored 5, 4.5 below that chance total. Hamburger SV generated 5.6 xG across 5 of their last 6 matches with xG data and scored 3, 2.6 below that chance total.

Team comparison · recent form

1899 Hoffenheim: 6 matches · Hamburger SV: 6
Recent team comparison. 1899 Hoffenheim sample 6; Hamburger SV sample 6.
Measure1899 HoffenheimHamburger SV
Goals / game1.171
Conceded / game2.672.67
xG / game1.91.12
xG conceded / game1.122.16
Historical context, not stats from this fixture. xG coverage: 5 and 5 matches.Full team comparison
How to watch

How to watch 1899 Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV

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Lineups

Probable XIs

Probable · confirmed ~13:30
1899 Hoffenheim11 starters
5Kabak
31Eduardo
23Hlozek
7Campbell
24Mokwa
Out / doubtful
🩹 Miro Muheim injury · 🩹 Alexander Røssing-Lelesiit injury
Changes
Most-frequent starters over the last 11 matches. Confirmed teams land about an hour before kickoff, and any change from this XI appears here.

Every linked name opens the player page · Full lineups and injuries →

📊 Match preview and data context

The match kicks off Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 13:30 UTC at the PreZero Arena in the Bundesliga. Hoffenheim have won both recent head-to-head meetings against Hamburg, though form has been mixed for both sides; Hamburg arrive in poor shape with just one win in five. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

1899 Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV · Bundesliga ·

More from this competition: Bundesliga predictions · Bundesliga odds

Questions about this match

  • When and where is 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?
    1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV takes place on Saturday 10 October at 14:30 (UK time) in the Bundesliga at PreZero Arena, Sinsheim.
  • Who is the model backing in 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?
    Our model's pick is Both teams to score (btts), with around 64% confidence. No current price passed the integrity check. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
  • What is the head-to-head record between 1899 Hoffenheim and Hamburger SV?
    In their last 2 meetings, 1899 Hoffenheim won 2, Hamburger SV won 0, with 0 draws. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2.
  • How can I watch 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV?
    Check your local official broadcaster or rights-holder for Bundesliga coverage in your region. SportSignals does not stream matches.
  • Are SportSignals predictions for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV free?
    Yes. The model's predictions, odds comparison, stats and head-to-head for 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV are free to read. 18+. Predictions are informational, not betting advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. begambleaware.org.
Tips record

Tip decision pending

The pre-match publication window is still open. No Tip has been recorded yet, so this is not a no-Tip decision.

Latest possible publication cutoff · kickoff 10 Oct, 14:30 BST

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.