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Bundesliga · MW3 Cologne Stadium, KölnRef: Florian Exner
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

1. FC Köln 1-1 Werder Bremen result, stats and report

1. FC Köln
Drew · xG 1.97
1 – 1
FT 12:05
Drew · xG 1.17
Werder Bremen
Next: 1. FC Köln v Schalke 04 · Sat 24 Oct · FSV Mainz 05 v Werder Bremen · Sat 24 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

1. FC KölnWerder BremenBundesliga

The provider forecast gives 1. FC Köln win the highest 1X2 probability at 43.3%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

1. FC Köln
43.3%
Draw
23.6%
Werder Bremen
33.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.8%
Over 2.5 goals
60.4%

Full-time forecast audit: 1. FC Köln win was the highest probability; the match result was draw.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorewon
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

43%
24%
33%
43.3%1. FC Köln
23.6%Draw
33.1%Werder Bremen

Both Teams to Score

62%
Yes 61.8%No 38.2%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

60%
Yes 60.4%No 39.6%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
39%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
6.4%
0-1
6.2%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates 1. FC Köln or draw at 51.5%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 37.7%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.7%.

Double Chance

1X
51.5%
12
4.8%
X2
43.6%

Half-Time Result

1. FC Köln
34.6%
Draw
37.7%
Werder Bremen
27.7%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
1. FC Köln
Draw
Werder Bremen
1. FC Köln
24.4%
5.5%
3.5%
Draw
12.5%
13.0%
11.7%
Werder Bremen
3.5%
5.3%
20.5%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.7%
No
91.3%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.