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Bundesliga · MW1 Cologne Stadium, KölnRef: Florian Badstübner
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

1. FC Köln 3-2 1899 Hoffenheim result, stats and report

1. FC Köln
Won · xG 0.81
3 – 2
FT
Lost · xG 1.43
1899 Hoffenheim
Next: 1. FC Köln v Borussia Mönchengladbach · Sun 11 Oct · 1899 Hoffenheim v Hamburger SV · Sat 10 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

1. FC Köln1899 HoffenheimBundesliga

The provider forecast gives 1899 Hoffenheim win the highest 1X2 probability at 41.1%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

1. FC Köln
34.5%
Draw
24.3%
1899 Hoffenheim
41.1%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.4%
Over 2.5 goals
60.0%

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorewon
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalswon
Over 2.5 goalswon
Over 3.5 goalslost
Full-time resultlost
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

35%
24%
41%
34.5%1. FC Köln
24.3%Draw
41.1%1899 Hoffenheim

Both Teams to Score

61%
Yes 61.4%No 38.6%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

60%
Yes 60.0%No 40.0%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
38%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
6.5%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates 1. FC Köln or draw at 48.1%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 36.0%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 6.0%.

Double Chance

1X
48.1%
12
5.1%
X2
46.7%

Half-Time Result

1. FC Köln
29.8%
Draw
36.0%
1899 Hoffenheim
34.2%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
1. FC Köln
Draw
1899 Hoffenheim
1. FC Köln
22.0%
5.2%
3.0%
Draw
12.6%
12.9%
11.3%
1899 Hoffenheim
2.9%
5.7%
24.3%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
6.0%
No
94.0%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.