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2. Bundesliga · MW5 Voith-Arena, Heidenheim an der BrenzRef: Justin Joel Hasmann
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

1. FC Heidenheim 1-0 Holstein Kiel result, stats and report

1. FC Heidenheim
Won · xG 1.68
1 – 0
FT 04:55
Lost · xG 0.86
Holstein Kiel
Next: 1. FC Heidenheim v Energie Cottbus · Sat 24 Oct · Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden · Sun 25 Oct
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Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

1. FC HeidenheimHolstein Kiel2. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives 1. FC Heidenheim win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

1. FC Heidenheim
40.9%
Draw
24.9%
HKI
34.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.0%
Over 2.5 goals
59.3%

Full-time forecast audit: 1. FC Heidenheim win was the highest probability; the match result was 1. FC Heidenheim win.

Forecast result checked ·

Evidence and authority

Provider forecast
Our data provider supplies the underlying fixture probabilities.
SportSignals transformation
We validate, normalise and label the provider percentages for display.
Market consensus
Not included here. Current regional prices are a separate Odds-section record.
Tip and Plus value
A qualified Tip is a separate publication decision. Plus value separately compares a probability with an eligible price.
Provider market settlement record
MarketResult
Both teams to scorelost
Half-time / full-timelost
Half-time resultwon
Over 1.5 goalslost
Over 2.5 goalslost
Over 3.5 goalswon
Full-time resultwon
Double chancewon
Correct scorelost
Both teams to score in both halveswon

Provider probabilities come from the immutable pre-kickoff snapshot. Settlement fields are a separate post-match record and cannot rewrite the frozen forecast.

Match Probabilities

Full-Time Result

41%
25%
34%
40.9%1. FC Heidenheim
24.9%Draw
34.2%HKI

Both Teams to Score

61%
Yes 61.0%No 39.0%

Over/Under 2.5 Goals

59%
Yes 59.3%No 40.7%

Goals Markets

Over 1.5
81%
Over 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
38%

Most Likely Correct Scores

1-1
10.8%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-2
6.7%
0-1
6.4%

More markets

On the double chance our model rates 1. FC Heidenheim or draw at 50.3%; the most likely half-time state is a half-time draw at 41.4%; both teams scoring in both halves is priced at 8.1%.

Double Chance

1X
50.3%
12
5.4%
X2
44.3%

Half-Time Result

1. FC Heidenheim
30.0%
Draw
41.4%
HKI
28.6%

Half-Time / Full-Time

HT \ FT
1. FC Heidenheim
Draw
HKI
1. FC Heidenheim
21.4%
5.5%
2.8%
Draw
12.8%
15.5%
12.8%
HKI
3.7%
4.7%
20.7%

BTTS in Both Halves

Yes
8.1%
No
91.9%

Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.