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2. Bundesliga · MW5 Voith-Arena, Heidenheim an der BrenzRef: Justin Joel Hasmann
Full time

This match had live commentary and in-play prices; no stats or momentum.

1. FC Heidenheim 1-0 Holstein Kiel result, stats and report

1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim
Won · xG 1.68
1 – 0
FT 04:55
Holstein Kiel
Lost · xG 0.86
Holstein Kiel
Match review
Next: 1. FC Heidenheim v Energie Cottbus · Sat 24 Oct · Holstein Kiel v Dynamo Dresden · Sun 25 Oct
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Who won 1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel?

1. FC Heidenheim 1-0 Holstein Kiel, full time in the 2. Bundesliga. Played UK time. Our model's pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals, which landed.

How it played out

1. FC Heidenheim won it 1–0

1. FC HeidenheimHKI

No minute-by-minute record was captured for this match, so the shape of it is not drawn.

Verified final · revision 4 · 04:55Full stats
Match StoryFull breakdown

1. FC Heidenheim 1–0 Holstein Kiel

Jonas Föhrenbach headed home in the 83rd minute to give 1. FC Heidenheim a hard-fought 1-0 win over Holstein Kiel, with the visitors finishing the match down to ten men after a red card late on.

2. BundesligaSun 13 Sept, 12:30
Key Takeaways
Result

1. FC Heidenheim beat Holstein Kiel 1-0 at home.

Goals

A single goal kept the match under the 2.5 line.

Chance quality

The chances backed the result: 1. FC Heidenheim 1.68 to Holstein Kiel 0.86 on expected goals.

First Goal
J
83'⚽
Jonas Föhrenbach
MAssist: Mikkel Kaufmann
Game Flow

Expected Goals (xG)

1. FC Heidenheim 1.68 xGHolstein Kiel 0.86 xG
Cumulative · approximated from goal events
0'45'90'

SportSignals model forecast

Recorded before kick-off · prediction, not a Tip

1. FC Heidenheim to win

41%Matched

Result

1. FC Heidenheim1:0Holstein Kiel

1. FC Heidenheim v HKI

Our model called 1. FC Heidenheim to win at 41%. 1. FC Heidenheim 1-0 Holstein Kiel. Forecast matched the result.
📊 Match recap and data context

Heidenheim beat Kiel 1-0 at the Voith-Arena in a 2. Bundesliga match where our model favored the hosts at 41 percent probability, a pick that landed. Heidenheim controlled the contest and held firm defensively despite Kiel's attempts to find an equalizer. The result snapped a run of mixed form for the home side, who had won once in their previous five outings. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

SportSignals uses automated analysis with editorial oversight. Check current team news and market prices before relying on this context.

1. FC Heidenheim v Holstein Kiel · 2. Bundesliga ·

Player ratings

Who decided it

All 22
  1. Jonas Föhrenbach1. FC Heidenheim★ MOTM1 goal · 90 min8.1
  2. Michael Heule90 min7.5
  3. Phil HarresHKI90 min7.3
  4. Timon WeinerHKI90 min7.2
  5. Mikkel Kaufmann1. FC Heidenheim1 assist · 44 min7.1

Forecast audit · prediction, not a Tip

How the forecast compared

1. FC HeidenheimHolstein Kiel2. Bundesliga

The provider forecast gives 1. FC Heidenheim win the highest 1X2 probability at 40.9%. No SportSignals Tip was published, so there is no Tip to settle.

1. FC Heidenheim
40.9%
Draw
24.9%
HKI
34.2%
Both teams to score · Yes
61.0%
Over 2.5 goals
59.3%

Full-time forecast audit: 1. FC Heidenheim win was the highest probability; the match result was 1. FC Heidenheim win.

Forecast result checked ·

Tips record

No Tip was published for this match

No selection qualified before kickoff, so there is no paid Tip to settle. The original model prediction and observed prices remain separate audit records.

Final pre-match decision · no Tip to settle

Current alternative Tips will be checked as this section comes into view
Match facts · what the record shows

Pre-match facts retained

The historical evidence saved at kick-off, kept separate from what happened in the match.

Head-to-head evidence

Pre-match historical evidence

  • 1-1is the most common scoreline between 1. FC Heidenheim and Holstein Kiel, landing 2 times across 12 league meetings on record.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 8/12recorded league meetings saw both teams score (66.7%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 42league matches at home unbeaten for 1. FC Heidenheim.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 1. FC Heidenheim scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Holstein Kiel scored first in 5 of their last 10 league matches (50%).Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • 1. FC Heidenheim have averaged 2.2 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • Holstein Kiel have averaged 1.6 goals per match over their last 10 league matches.Immutable kick-off snapshot
  • David Zec has the highest listed average xGOT for Holstein Kiel at 0.46 across the provider's evidence window.Immutable kick-off snapshot

Immutable kick-off snapshot · Source: match facts feed. Evidence sets are labelled separately and never rebuilt from mutable post-match rows.

Questions about this result

  • What was the final score in 1. FC Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel?
    1. FC Heidenheim beat HKI 1-0 in the 2. Bundesliga at Voith-Arena.
  • Who scored the opening goal?
    Jonas Föhrenbach opened the scoring in the 83rd minute.
  • Who scored in the match?
    Jonas Föhrenbach (83').
  • How many bookings were there?
    The referee showed 2 yellow cards and 1 red card.
  • Who refereed the match?
    Justin Joel Hasmann officiated.
  • When and where was the match played?
    1. FC Heidenheim vs HKI kicked off on Sunday, 13 September 2026 UK time at Voith-Arena.
  • How many corners were there in the match?
    14 corners were taken across the 90 minutes.
  • Did the model call it right?
    Yes. The published pick was Under 2.5 goals, and it landed.
  • When do they play next?
    1. FC Heidenheim play Energie Cottbus on Saturday, 24 October 2026 UK time. HKI play Holstein Kiel on Sunday, 25 October 2026 UK time.

Informational only, not betting advice. 18+ · Past performance does not guarantee future results · BeGambleAware (UK): 0808 8020 133.