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Thursday 5 November

Thursday’s football predictions, tips and best odds

40 games on Thursday in 4 competitions. The biggest is Celtic v Beşiktaş at 20:00. 8 Tips this weekend.

Updated 13:11 · UK times

Big Games

Chosen by league, club size and whether there is a story: a Tip, or a gap between our model and the bookmakers.

How we choose these
UEFA Europa League logoUEFA Europa LeagueThu 20:00 in 2 days
Celtic crest
CelticLLL
v
BeşiktaşWLWWD
Beşiktaş crest
If the result is
Celtic crestCeltic win
Draw
Beşiktaş crestBeşiktaş win
Our chancefrom our model
41%
22%
37%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Celtic favourites at 41%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa League logoUEFA Europa LeagueThu 20:00 in 2 days
Benfica crest
BenficaWLWWW
v
Lech PoznańW
Lech Poznań crest
If the result is
Benfica crestBenfica win
Draw
Lech Poznań crestLech Poznań win
Our chancefrom our model
65%
20%
15%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Benfica strong favourites at 65%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa LeagueThu 17:45 in 2 days
Levski SofiaDWWDL
v
Jagiellonia BiałystokLLLWW
If the result is
Levski Sofia win
Draw
Jagiellonia Białystok win
Our chancefrom our model
42%
23%
35%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Levski Sofia favourites at 42%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa LeagueThu 17:45 in 2 days
NEC NijmegenDWLL
v
Omonia NicosiaW
If the result is
NEC Nijmegen win
Draw
Omonia Nicosia win
Our chancefrom our model
48%
25%
27%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes NEC Nijmegen favourites at 48%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa LeagueThu 17:45 in 2 days
Crystal PalaceWLD
v
1899 HoffenheimLLWWL
If the result is
Crystal Palace win
Draw
1899 Hoffenheim win
Our chancefrom our model
38%
23%
39%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes 1899 Hoffenheim favourites at 39%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa LeagueThu 20:00 in 2 days
SunderlandWWD
v
Dinamo ZagrebWLWWL
If the result is
Sunderland win
Draw
Dinamo Zagreb win
Our chancefrom our model
32%
22%
46%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Dinamo Zagreb favourites at 46%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa LeagueThu 17:45 in 2 days
Real SociedadWWWWL
v
LyonWLWLW
If the result is
Real Sociedad win
Draw
Lyon win
Our chancefrom our model
49%
24%
27%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Real Sociedad favourites at 49%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

UEFA Europa LeagueThu 20:00 in 2 days
Hapoel Be'er ShevaWWWWL
v
OFIWWWLL
If the result is
Hapoel Be'er Sheva win
Draw
OFI win
Our chancefrom our model
51%
22%
27%
Bookmakers’ chanceBookmaker chance1 ÷ best price
Checking prices
Best priceUK bookmakers

Our model makes Hapoel Be'er Sheva favourites at 51%.

18+ · Information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

1 of 8

Every game, biggest first

Grouped by league. Open Match Centre from any row. Tap a bell to follow a game.

Exchanges such as Betfair Exchange take commission from winnings. With this on, their prices are shown after commission. Live prices are always bookmakers only.

Our chance:Home winDrawAway winThe logo under each price is the bookmaker offering it.
Kick-offMatchOur chanceBest UK price
UEFA Europa League logo

UEFA Europa League

17 gamesAll UEFA Europa League predictions
17:45
AC Milan crestAC MilanFerencvárosi crestFerencvárosi
AC Milan 39%392537
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:45
Sparta Praha crestSparta PrahaBournemouth crestBournemouth
Sparta Praha 51%512129
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:45
Lillestrøm crestLillestrømViktoria Plzeň crestViktoria Plzeň
Viktoria Plzeň 42%352342
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:45
Levski Sofia crestLevski SofiaJagiellonia Białystok crestJagiellonia Białystok
Levski Sofia 42%422335
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:45
Real Sociedad crestReal SociedadLyon crestLyon
Real Sociedad 49%492427
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:45
NEC Nijmegen crestNEC NijmegenOmonia Nicosia crestOmonia Nicosia
NEC Nijmegen 48%482527
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:45
Crystal Palace crestCrystal Palace1899 Hoffenheim crest1899 Hoffenheim
1899 Hoffenheim 39%382339
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:45
Anderlecht crestAnderlechtSalzburg crestSalzburg
Salzburg 44%322444
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
Hapoel Be'er Sheva crestHapoel Be'er ShevaOFI crestOFI
Hapoel Be'er Sheva 51%512227
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
Celtic crestCelticBeşiktaş crestBeşiktaş
Celtic 41%412237
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
Sturm Graz crestSturm GrazCelje crestCelje
Sturm Graz 43%432532
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
Celta Vigo crestCelta VigoUnion Saint-Gilloise crestUnion Saint-Gilloise
Union Saint-Gilloise 50%262450
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
Torreense crestTorreenseArarat-Armenia crestArarat-Armenia
Ararat-Armenia 42%352342
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
Sunderland crestSunderlandDinamo Zagreb crestDinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb 46%322246
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
Benfica crestBenficaLech Poznań crestLech Poznań
Benfica 65%652015
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer LeverkusenMarseille crestMarseille
Bayer Leverkusen 49%492229
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
AZ Alkmaar crestAZ AlkmaarJuventus crestJuventus
Juventus 38%362638
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking

UEFA Europa Conference League

18 gamesAll UEFA Europa Conference League predictions
17:45
MjällbyBorac Banja Luka
Mjällby 40%402436
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:45
Crvena ZvezdaInter Club d'Escaldes
Crvena Zvezda 63%632017
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:45
FC MidtjyllandAjax
Ajax 46%312346
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:45
ThunHearts
Hearts 43%342343
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:45
AtalantaKairat
Atalanta 61%612217
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:45
AGFSporting Braga
Sporting Braga 42%342542
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:45
TrabzonsporSC Freiburg
Trabzonspor 52%522324
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:45
KuPSGent
Gent 42%342542
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:45
Lincoln Red ImpsHajduk Split
Hajduk Split 54%232354
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
Sint-TruidenBrann
Sint-Truiden 39%392239
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
MonacoNordsjælland
Monaco 45%452332
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
FC KøbenhavnFC Iberia 1999
FC København 63%632215
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
LuganoKauno Žalgiris
Lugano 48%482329
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
Universitatea CraiovaEgnatia Rrogozhinë
Universitatea Craiova 64%642314
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
GetafeBrighton
Brighton 50%252650
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
PanathinaikosCSKA Sofia
Panathinaikos 51%512821
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
TwentePafos FC
Twente 60%602118
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
RigaJablonec
Riga 59%592120
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking

Saudi Pro League

3 gamesAll Saudi Pro League predictions
13:25
Al KholoodAl Khaleej
Al Khaleej 44%302644
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
15:10
AbhaAl Shabab
Al Shabab 41%322641
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
17:30
Al-QadsiahAl-Fayha
Al-Qadsiah 65%652016
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
18:00
TarancónLevante
Levante 53%222553
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking
20:00
AlcoyanoMallorca
Mallorca 37%333037
HomeCheckingDrawCheckingAwayChecking

18+ · Prices are information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Where we differ from the bookmakers

The four biggest gaps on Thursday between our model’s chance and the best UK price. Our view, not advice.

See every gap with SportSignals+

18+ · Our view, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Our record, in public

Every Tip stays in the public record, including the ones that lose. The accuracy record counts every settled prediction we can verify.

Tips since Aug 2025+12.6%profit on stakes from 882 settled Tips, Aug 2025 to Nov 2026.
Tips, last 30 days+18.6%profit on stakes from 66 Tips, 4 Oct to 2 Nov. 32 won.
Results called right50.4%2,720 of 5,400 full-time results since 15 April 2026.

The figure above covers the whole published record. The current run, August 2026 to November 2026, is -1.1% across 142 settled tips since the model restarted. A run that short moves a long way on a few results, so read the two together.

Tips profit by monthProfit divided by stakes, settled Tips. No Tips in June and July 2026. November 2026 is to the 2nd.
+14%Sep
−16%Oct
+16%Nov
+8%Dec
+20%Jan
+0%Feb
+37%Mar
+34%Apr
+8%May
Jun
Jul
−20%Aug
−16%Sep
+26%Oct
−36%Nov
20252026

Past performance does not guarantee future results. 18+ · BeGambleAware.org

Thursday at a glance

Thursday 5 November: the Big Games at a glance
MatchKick-offMost likelyOur chanceBest price
Celtic v Beşiktaş20:00Celtic win41%Checking prices
Benfica v Lech Poznań20:00Benfica win65%Checking prices
Levski Sofia v Jagiellonia Białystok17:45Levski Sofia win42%Checking prices
NEC Nijmegen v Omonia Nicosia17:45NEC Nijmegen win48%Checking prices
Crystal Palace v 1899 Hoffenheim17:451899 Hoffenheim win39%Checking prices
Sunderland v Dinamo Zagreb20:00Dinamo Zagreb win46%Checking prices
Real Sociedad v Lyon17:45Real Sociedad win49%Checking prices
Hapoel Be'er Sheva v OFI20:00Hapoel Be'er Sheva win51%Checking prices

18+ · Prices are information, not advice · BeGambleAware.org

Questions

How are these predictions made?

Our model turns team ratings and match data into a chance for each result. The accuracy record shows how often it has been right.

What does “We differ” mean?

Our model gives a result at least 8 points more chance than the best bookmaker price suggests. It is our view, not advice.

Are these the best odds?

They are the best prices we found at UK-licensed bookmakers when the page was updated. Prices move, so check before you bet.

Do I need an account?

No. Predictions, prices and the Free Pick are open to everyone. A free account saves your teams across devices.