Verified public record

October 2025 football tips record

Every published selection stays in one transparent record, with the price logged before kick-off, the settled result and a level-stakes return you can check yourself.

Settled tips

-15.9%

Return on stakes

10W–15L

Every result counted

Ledger checked 24 Aug 2026

The record in one view

This public ledger contains 25 settled football tips in October 2025: 10 won and 15 lost. At flat £10 stakes, the record returned -15.9% on money staked. Every result stays visible, because profit depends on both the result and the recorded odds, not win rate by itself.

18+ · Please gamble responsibly · www.begambleaware.org.

Plain-English evidence

Month-by-month record

Green months made a profit at level stakes; red months made a loss; neutral months broke even. Losing months remain in the record.

See every season

Month	Tips	Record	Return on stakes	Profit at £10 stakes
October 2025	25	10W–15L	-15.9%	-£39.80

Published tip ledger

25 settled tips

Newest first · page 1 of 1. Every older result has a permanent place in the public record.

Show results

Open any row for the original publication evidence. Change the example stake to see the same result at a different level stake.

Stake

Exactly what we published
Under 2.5 goals · 2.82
Goals · price recorded before kick-off
+£18.20
profit at £10
Published
29 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
45.3% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 35.5% implied chance.
Match result
Lorient vs Paris Saint Germain 1–1
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £28.20 returned
+182% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link
Exactly what we published
Over 2.5 goals · 1.81
Goals · price recorded before kick-off
-£10
loss at £10
Published
26 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
70.9% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 55.2% implied chance.
Match result
Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg 2–0
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £0 returned
-100% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link View Match Centre
Exactly what we published
Sassuolo to win · 4.80
Match result · price recorded before kick-off
-£10
loss at £10
Published
26 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
23.1% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 20.8% implied chance.
Match result
Sassuolo vs AS Roma 0–1
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £0 returned
-100% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link
Exactly what we published
Under 1.5 goals · 5.90
Goals · price recorded before kick-off
-£10
loss at £10
Published
26 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
26.8% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 16.9% implied chance.
Match result
Lille vs Metz 6–1
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £0 returned
-100% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link
Exactly what we published
Arsenal to win · 1.45
Match result · price recorded before kick-off
+£4.50
profit at £10
Published
26 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
74.8% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 69.0% implied chance.
Match result
Arsenal vs Crystal Palace 1–0
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £14.50 returned
+45% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link View Match Centre
Exactly what we published
Over 2.5 goals · 1.86
Goals · price recorded before kick-off
+£8.60
profit at £10
Published
25 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
63.4% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 53.8% implied chance.
Match result
Newcastle vs Fulham 2–1
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £18.60 returned
+86% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link View Match Centre
Exactly what we published
Draw · 3.95
Match result · price recorded before kick-off
-£10
loss at £10
Published
25 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
29.4% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 25.3% implied chance.
Match result
FC Augsburg vs RB Leipzig 0–6
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £0 returned
-100% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link View Match Centre
Exactly what we published
Under 2.5 goals · 2.32
Goals · price recorded before kick-off
-£10
loss at £10
Published
25 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
47.7% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 43.1% implied chance.
Match result
FC Volendam vs Heracles 3–0
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £0 returned
-100% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link
Exactly what we published
Under 2.5 goals · 1.68
Goals · price recorded before kick-off
+£6.80
profit at £10
Published
25 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
65.8% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 59.5% implied chance.
Match result
Parma vs Como 0–0
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £16.80 returned
+68% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link
Exactly what we published
Under 1.5 goals · 6.20
Goals · price recorded before kick-off
-£10
loss at £10
Published
25 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
26.4% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 16.1% implied chance.
Match result
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint Germain 0–3
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £0 returned
-100% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link
Exactly what we published
Under 1.5 goals · 5.40
Goals · price recorded before kick-off
-£10
loss at £10
Published
25 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
28.1% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 18.5% implied chance.
Match result
PEC Zwolle vs NEC Nijmegen 2–2
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £0 returned
-100% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link
Exactly what we published
Both teams to score · 1.92
Both teams to score · price recorded before kick-off
+£9.20
profit at £10
Published
25 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
63.8% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 52.1% implied chance.
Match result
Newcastle vs Fulham 2–1
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £19.20 returned
+92% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link View Match Centre
Exactly what we published
Under 2.5 goals · 1.96
Goals · price recorded before kick-off
-£10
loss at £10
Published
24 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
59.5% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 51.0% implied chance.
Match result
Real Sociedad vs Sevilla 2–1
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £0 returned
-100% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link View Match Centre
Exactly what we published
Under 2.5 goals · 2.00
Goals · price recorded before kick-off
+£10
profit at £10
Published
19 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
55.3% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 50.0% implied chance.
Match result
Getafe vs Real Madrid 0–1
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £20 returned
+100% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link View Match Centre
Exactly what we published
AC Milan to win · 1.75
Match result · price recorded before kick-off
+£7.50
profit at £10
Published
19 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
61.9% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 57.1% implied chance.
Match result
AC Milan vs Fiorentina 2–1
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £17.50 returned
+75% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link
Exactly what we published
Under 2.5 goals · 2.48
Goals · price recorded before kick-off
-£10
loss at £10
Published
19 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
45.1% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 40.3% implied chance.
Match result
SC Telstar vs Heerenveen 2–3
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £0 returned
-100% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link
Exactly what we published
Under 2.5 goals · 2.80
Goals · price recorded before kick-off
-£10
loss at £10
Published
19 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
43.6% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 35.7% implied chance.
Match result
Liverpool vs Manchester United 1–2
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £0 returned
-100% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link View Match Centre
Exactly what we published
Under 2.5 goals · 2.35
Goals · price recorded before kick-off
-£10
loss at £10
Published
18 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
46.3% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 42.6% implied chance.
Match result
Marseille vs Le Havre 6–2
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £0 returned
-100% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link
Exactly what we published
Under 2.5 goals · 2.81
Goals · price recorded before kick-off
-£10
loss at £10
Published
17 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
47.5% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 35.6% implied chance.
Match result
Paris Saint Germain vs Strasbourg 3–3
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £0 returned
-100% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link
Exactly what we published
Under 2.5 goals · 2.72
Goals · price recorded before kick-off
-£10
loss at £10
Published
5 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
48.4% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 36.8% implied chance.
Match result
Sevilla vs Barcelona 4–1
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £0 returned
-100% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link View Match Centre
Exactly what we published
Draw · 3.85
Match result · price recorded before kick-off
-£10
loss at £10
Published
5 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
31.0% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 26.0% implied chance.
Match result
Bologna vs Pisa 4–0
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £0 returned
-100% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link
Exactly what we published
Under 2.5 goals · 2.54
Goals · price recorded before kick-off
+£15.40
profit at £10
Published
5 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
44.0% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 39.4% implied chance.
Match result
Brentford vs Manchester City 0–1
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £25.40 returned
+154% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link View Match Centre
Exactly what we published
Over 2.5 goals · 1.98
Goals · price recorded before kick-off
+£9.80
profit at £10
Published
5 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
60.6% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 50.5% implied chance.
Match result
Aston Villa vs Burnley 2–1
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £19.80 returned
+98% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link View Match Centre
Exactly what we published
Under 1.5 goals · 6.40
Goals · price recorded before kick-off
-£10
loss at £10
Published
5 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
23.6% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 15.6% implied chance.
Match result
Sevilla vs Barcelona 4–1
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £0 returned
-100% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link View Match Centre
Exactly what we published
Under 2.5 goals · 3.02
Goals · price recorded before kick-off
+£20.20
profit at £10
Published
4 Oct 2025
This earlier record stores the publication date, but not the clock time.
Model view
40.0% estimated chance
The recorded price represented a 33.1% implied chance.
Match result
Arsenal vs West Ham 2–0
Stake outcome
£10 staked · £30.20 returned
+202% return on this level stake.
The recorded price is publication evidence, not a current bookmaker offer. Prices can move and may no longer be available.
Permanent publication link View Match Centre

How to read it

Profit, in plain English

Recorded price: The decimal odds stored when the tip was published. It is historical evidence, not a current offer.
Level stakes: The same stake is used for every tip, so one result cannot be made to look more important than another.
Return on stakes: Total profit or loss divided by all money staked. This is the number used to judge the record.
Win rate: How often a tip won. Odds decide what each win was worth, so win rate alone does not show profitability.

Read how the model works

Full archive