Wrexham xG 2026/27

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The Wrexham xG picture

Updated 2 Nov 2026, 18:22 GMT

Across the 13 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Wrexham scored 15 from 15.6 expected goals and conceded 19 from 15.2 expected against.

The attack underperformed its chances by 0.6 goals and the defence conceded 3.8 more than expected. Coverage is 13 of 13 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

13 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored15

Expected (xG)15.6

Underperformed by 0.6 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded19

Expected against (xGA)15.2

Conceded 3.8 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Wrexham better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 15 scored from 15.6 xG, 19 conceded from 15.2 xGA over 13 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.