Watford xG 2026/27

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5 latest covered matches

The Watford xG picture

Updated 17 Sept 2026, 15:51 BST

Across the 7 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Watford scored 7 from 8.0 expected goals and conceded 9 from 12.4 expected against.

The attack underperformed its chances by 1.0 goals and the defence conceded 3.4 fewer than expected. Coverage is 7 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

7 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored7

Expected (xG)8

Underperformed by 1.0 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded9

Expected against (xGA)12.4

Conceded 3.4 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 9 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Watford better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 7 scored from 8.0 xG, 9 conceded from 12.4 xGA over 7 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.