Toulouse xG 2026/27

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5 latest covered matches

The Toulouse xG picture

Updated 17 Sept 2026, 13:33 BST

Across the 4 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Toulouse scored 4 from 6.9 expected goals and conceded 7 from 4.6 expected against.

The attack underperformed its chances by 2.9 goals and the defence conceded 2.4 more than expected. Coverage is 4 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

4 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored4

Expected (xG)6.9

Underperformed by 2.9 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded7

Expected against (xGA)4.6

Conceded 2.4 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 8 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Toulouse better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 4 scored from 6.9 xG, 7 conceded from 4.6 xGA over 4 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.