Swansea xG 2026/27

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The Swansea xG picture

Updated 21 Sept 2026, 00:12 BST

Across the 8 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Swansea scored 13 from 10.9 expected goals and conceded 6 from 10.0 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 2.1 goals and the defence conceded 4.0 fewer than expected. Coverage is 8 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

8 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored13

Expected (xG)10.9

Overperformed by 2.1 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded6

Expected against (xGA)10

Conceded 4.0 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 9 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Swansea better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 13 scored from 10.9 xG, 6 conceded from 10.0 xGA over 8 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.