Stoke City xG 2026/27

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The Stoke City xG picture

Updated 19 Sept 2026, 10:55 BST

Across the 7 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Stoke City scored 11 from 7.0 expected goals and conceded 11 from 9.2 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 4.0 goals and the defence conceded 1.8 more than expected. Coverage is 7 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

7 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored11

Expected (xG)7

Overperformed by 4.0 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded11

Expected against (xGA)9.2

Conceded 1.8 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 8 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Stoke City better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 11 scored from 7.0 xG, 11 conceded from 9.2 xGA over 7 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.