Stade Brestois 29 xG 2026/27

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Updated 26 Oct 2026, 13:30 GMT

Stade Brestois 29 generated 13.3 expected goals across 8 covered matches in the 2026/27 season, converting 10 of those chances into actual goals. Their attack outperformed the xG model by 0.7 goals, suggesting clinical finishing.

Defensively, the club conceded 9.5 expected goals whilst allowing 12 actual goals across the same fixture sample. A defensive delta of 2.5 indicates they underperformed their underlying defensive metrics, suggesting vulnerability to opposition quality.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

8 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored14

Expected (xG)13.3

Overperformed by 0.7 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded12

Expected against (xGA)9.5

Conceded 2.5 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Stade Brestois 29 better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 14 scored from 13.3 xG, 12 conceded from 9.5 xGA over 8 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.