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Across the 2 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, St. Johnstone scored 4 from 4.1 expected goals and conceded 4 from 3.1 expected against.
The attack underperformed its chances by 0.1 goals and the defence conceded 0.9 more than expected. Coverage is 2 of 2 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 4 scored from 4.1 xG, 4 conceded from 3.1 xGA over 2 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
