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Across the 10 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, SpVgg Greuther Fürth scored 13 from 12.2 expected goals and conceded 16 from 14.7 expected against.
The attack overperformed its chances by 0.8 goals and the defence conceded 1.3 more than expected. Coverage is 10 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 13 scored from 12.2 xG, 16 conceded from 14.7 xGA over 10 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
VfL Bochum 1848 · X
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | DSC Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 14 |
| 8 | FC St. Pauli | 10 | 12 |
| 9 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 12 |
| 10 | Osnabrück | 10 | 11 |
| 11 | VfL Bochum 1848 | 10 | 11 |
Live 2026/27 table.