SpVgg Greuther Fürth xG 2026/27

2. BundesligaVerified dataSportSignals rating 1460

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Updated 18 Sept 2026, 21:30 BST

SpVgg Greuther Fürth generated 8 expected goals across 6 covered matches in the 2026/27 season, converting these chances into 9 actual goals. Their attack delta of 1 indicates marginal overperformance relative to expected output. Defensively, the club conceded 8 expected goals but allowed 11 actual goals across covered fixtures, with a defence delta of 3 reflecting underperformance in that area.

The team's total finished chances amounted to 10 across all matches tracked. This data suggests attacking efficiency slightly above model predictions, whilst defensive vulnerabilities proved more pronounced than underlying metrics suggested.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

6 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored9

Expected (xG)8

Overperformed by 1.0 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded11

Expected against (xGA)8

Conceded 3.0 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 8 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are SpVgg Greuther Fürth better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 9 scored from 8.0 xG, 11 conceded from 8.0 xGA over 6 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.