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Across the 8 2026 matches with verified per-match xG, Rosario Central scored 12 from 11.1 expected goals and conceded 11 from 10.9 expected against.
The attack overperformed its chances by 0.9 goals and the defence conceded 0.1 more than expected. Coverage is 8 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 12 scored from 11.1 xG, 11 conceded from 10.9 xGA over 8 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.