Real Madrid xG 2026/27

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The Real Madrid xG picture

Updated 16 Sept 2026, 16:06 BST

Across the 6 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Real Madrid scored 17 from 13.8 expected goals and conceded 6 from 5.4 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 3.2 goals and the defence conceded 0.6 more than expected. Coverage is 6 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

6 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored17

Expected (xG)13.8

Overperformed by 3.2 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded6

Expected against (xGA)5.4

Conceded 0.6 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Real Madrid better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 17 scored from 13.8 xG, 6 conceded from 5.4 xGA over 6 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.