Real Madrid xG 2026/27

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The Real Madrid xG picture

Updated 31 Oct 2026, 17:31 GMT

Across the 10 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Real Madrid scored 25 from 18.4 expected goals and conceded 10 from 11.3 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 6.6 goals and the defence conceded 1.3 fewer than expected. Coverage is 10 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

10 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored25

Expected (xG)18.4

Overperformed by 6.6 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded10

Expected against (xGA)11.3

Conceded 1.3 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Real Madrid better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 25 scored from 18.4 xG, 10 conceded from 11.3 xGA over 10 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.