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Across the 2 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Pafos FC scored 3 from 1.9 expected goals and conceded 4 from 4.3 expected against.
The attack overperformed its chances by 1.1 goals and the defence conceded 0.3 fewer than expected. Coverage is 2 of 8 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 3 scored from 1.9 xG, 4 conceded from 4.3 xGA over 2 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
Gianluca Di Marzio · X
