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Across the 5 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Notts County scored 6 from 6.2 expected goals and conceded 3 from 4.6 expected against.
The attack underperformed its chances by 0.2 goals and the defence conceded 1.6 fewer than expected. Coverage is 5 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 6 scored from 6.2 xG, 3 conceded from 4.6 xGA over 5 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
Notts County FC ยท X
Reading FC ยท X
Bradford City AFC ยท X
Sky Bet League One ยท X
