Notts County xG 2025/26

League TwoVerified dataSportSignals rating 1543

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5 latest covered matches

The Notts County xG picture

Updated 2 Aug 2026, 22:09 BST

Across the 5 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Notts County scored 6 from 6.2 expected goals and conceded 3 from 4.6 expected against.

The attack underperformed its chances by 0.2 goals and the defence conceded 1.6 fewer than expected. Coverage is 5 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2025/26

5 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored6

Expected (xG)6.2

Underperformed by 0.2 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded3

Expected against (xGA)4.6

Conceded 1.6 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 5 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Notts County better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 6 scored from 6.2 xG, 3 conceded from 4.6 xGA over 5 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.