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Across the 9 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Nottingham Forest scored 6 from 13.8 expected goals and conceded 12 from 9.1 expected against.
The attack underperformed its chances by 7.8 goals and the defence conceded 2.9 more than expected. Coverage is 9 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 6 scored from 13.8 xG, 12 conceded from 9.1 xGA over 9 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Manchester United | 9 | 7 |
| 18 | Crystal Palace | 9 | 7 |
| 19 | Nottingham Forest | 9 | 6 |
| 20 | Sunderland | 9 | 5 |
Live 2026/27 table.
Nottingham Forest · X
Sky Sports Premier League · X
talkSPORT · X
The Athletic | Football · X