Nottingham Forest xG 2025/26

Premier LeagueVerified dataSportSignals rating 1468LLWDW

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2 latest covered matches

The Nottingham Forest xG picture

Updated 2 Aug 2026, 14:10 BST

Across the 5 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Nottingham Forest scored 14 from 7.8 expected goals and conceded 4 from 6.6 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 6.2 goals and the defence conceded 2.6 fewer than expected. Coverage is 5 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2025/26

5 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored14

Expected (xG)7.8

Overperformed by 6.2 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded4

Expected against (xGA)6.6

Conceded 2.6 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 6 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Nottingham Forest better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 14 scored from 7.8 xG, 4 conceded from 6.6 xGA over 5 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.