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Across the 4 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Nottingham Forest scored 4 from 5.5 expected goals and conceded 4 from 3.9 expected against.
The attack underperformed its chances by 1.5 goals and the defence conceded 0.1 more than expected. Coverage is 4 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 4 scored from 5.5 xG, 4 conceded from 3.9 xGA over 4 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Everton | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Ipswich | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Nottingham Forest | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | Newcastle United | 4 | 5 |
| 13 | Manchester United | 4 | 4 |
Live 2026/27 table.
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