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Across the 4 2026 matches with verified per-match xG, Newell's Old Boys scored 5 from 3.7 expected goals and conceded 3 from 3.8 expected against.
The attack overperformed its chances by 1.3 goals and the defence conceded 0.8 fewer than expected. Coverage is 4 of 9 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 5 scored from 3.7 xG, 3 conceded from 3.8 xGA over 4 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
A relative strength index across the covered club cohort, not a percentage or a price.
