Nacional xG 2026/27

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5 latest covered matches

The Nacional xG picture

Updated 13 Oct 2026, 08:44 BST

Across the 8 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Nacional scored 9 from 9.1 expected goals and conceded 18 from 12.1 expected against.

The attack underperformed its chances by 0.1 goals and the defence conceded 5.9 more than expected. Coverage is 8 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

8 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored9

Expected (xG)9.1

Underperformed by 0.1 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded18

Expected against (xGA)12.1

Conceded 5.9 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Nacional better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 9 scored from 9.1 xG, 18 conceded from 12.1 xGA over 8 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.