Luton Town xG 2025/26

League OneVerified dataSportSignals rating 1636

Recent form

1 latest covered matches

The Luton Town xG picture

Updated 2 Aug 2026, 12:57 BST

Across the 5 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Luton Town scored 11 from 13.4 expected goals and conceded 6 from 6.5 expected against.

The attack underperformed its chances by 2.4 goals and the defence conceded 0.5 fewer than expected. Coverage is 5 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2025/26

5 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored11

Expected (xG)13.4

Underperformed by 2.4 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded6

Expected against (xGA)6.5

Conceded 0.5 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 5 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Luton Town better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 11 scored from 13.4 xG, 6 conceded from 6.5 xGA over 5 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.