Luton Town xG 2026/27

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3 latest covered matches

The Luton Town xG picture

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 15:46 GMT

Across the 13 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Luton Town scored 26 from 25.0 expected goals and conceded 20 from 14.8 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 1.0 goals and the defence conceded 5.2 more than expected. Coverage is 13 of 13 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

13 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored26

Expected (xG)25

Overperformed by 1.0 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded20

Expected against (xGA)14.8

Conceded 5.2 more than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Luton Town better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 26 scored from 25.0 xG, 20 conceded from 14.8 xGA over 13 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.