Lugano xG 2026/27
Recent form
D-W-W-W-D
5 latest covered matches
Latest result
W 4-1 v Grasshopper
2 Aug 2026
Next fixture
v NSÍ
Thu 6 Aug, 19:30
Availability
No recorded injuries
Missing data is not treated as confirmation
Reference data updated 2 Aug 2026, 20:15 BST
The Lugano xG picture
UpdatedAcross the 2 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Lugano scored 6 from 3.7 expected goals and conceded 2 from 2.9 expected against.
The attack overperformed its chances by 2.3 goals and the defence conceded 0.9 fewer than expected. Coverage is 2 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Per-match xG records, verified sample only.
Goals versus expected, 2026/27
2 covered matches
Attack: goals vs expected
Goals scored6
Expected (xG)3.7
Overperformed by 2.3 goals in covered matches
Defence: conceded vs expected
Goals conceded2
Expected against (xGA)2.9
Conceded 0.9 fewer than expected in covered matches
xG difference, last 7 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent
What the numbers mean
Reviewed with every data refresh
Are Lugano better or worse than their results?
Covered sample: 6 scored from 3.7 xG, 2 conceded from 2.9 xGA over 2 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.