Lugano xG 2026/27

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4 latest covered matches

The Lugano xG picture

Updated 1 Nov 2026, 09:28 GMT

Across the 11 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Lugano scored 34 from 18.7 expected goals and conceded 9 from 15.9 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 15.3 goals and the defence conceded 6.9 fewer than expected. Coverage is 11 of 11 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

11 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored34

Expected (xG)18.7

Overperformed by 15.3 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded9

Expected against (xGA)15.9

Conceded 6.9 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Lugano better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 34 scored from 18.7 xG, 9 conceded from 15.9 xGA over 11 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.