This site contains betting-related content and is intended for users aged 18 and over. You must be 18 or older to gamble.
Across the 3 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Lommel SK scored 5 from 3.2 expected goals and conceded 2 from 5.3 expected against.
The attack overperformed its chances by 1.8 goals and the defence conceded 3.3 fewer than expected. Coverage is 3 of 3 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Covered sample: 5 scored from 3.2 xG, 2 conceded from 5.3 xGA over 3 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.
