Hertha BSC xG 2026/27

2. BundesligaVerified dataSportSignals rating 1492

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5 latest covered matches

The Hertha BSC xG picture

Updated 2 Nov 2026, 15:55 GMT

Across the 10 2026/27 matches with verified per-match xG, Hertha BSC scored 23 from 18.6 expected goals and conceded 8 from 10.8 expected against.

The attack overperformed its chances by 4.4 goals and the defence conceded 2.8 fewer than expected. Coverage is 10 of 10 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.

Per-match xG records, verified sample only.

Goals versus expected, 2026/27

10 covered matches

Attack: goals vs expected

Goals scored23

Expected (xG)18.6

Overperformed by 4.4 goals in covered matches

Defence: conceded vs expected

Goals conceded8

Expected against (xGA)10.8

Conceded 2.8 fewer than expected in covered matches

xG difference, last 10 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent

What the numbers mean

Reviewed with every data refresh

Are Hertha BSC better or worse than their results?

Covered sample: 23 scored from 18.6 xG, 8 conceded from 10.8 xGA over 10 matches.

Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.