Hertha BSC xG 2025/26
Recent form
L-L-D-W-W
5 latest covered matches
Latest result
L 1-6 v DSC Arminia Bielefeld
17 May 2026
Next fixture
at VfL Bochum 1848
Fri 7 Aug, 19:30
Availability
No recorded injuries
Missing data is not treated as confirmation
Reference data updated 3 Aug 2026, 16:00 BST
The Hertha BSC xG picture
UpdatedAcross the 3 2025/26 matches with verified per-match xG, Hertha BSC scored 2 from 4.2 expected goals and conceded 8 from 6.4 expected against.
The attack underperformed its chances by 2.2 goals and the defence conceded 1.6 more than expected. Coverage is 3 of 9 matches; missing matches are excluded, never estimated.
Per-match xG records, verified sample only.
Goals versus expected, 2025/26
3 covered matches
Attack: goals vs expected
Goals scored2
Expected (xG)4.2
Underperformed by 2.2 goals in covered matches
Defence: conceded vs expected
Goals conceded8
Expected against (xGA)6.4
Conceded 1.6 more than expected in covered matches
xG difference, last 3 covered matchesabove the line = outcreated opponent
What the numbers mean
Reviewed with every data refresh
Are Hertha BSC better or worse than their results?
Covered sample: 2 scored from 4.2 xG, 8 conceded from 6.4 xGA over 3 matches.
Expected goals measure the quality of chances created and faced, so a persistent gap between goals and xG marks finishing runs or goalkeeping variance rather than underlying strength. Coverage is stated because partial samples must never masquerade as a full season.